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Bitcoin price flips volatile as traders eye $84.5K breakout

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Bitcoin (BTC) repeated earlier volatility at the April 1 Wall Street open as US trade tariff talk kept markets nervous.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin stays erratic ahead of crunch tariffs

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD making rapid moves within its weekly trading range of around $83,000.

US stocks ticked lower at the open, while gold came off fresh all-time highs of $3,149 per ounce.

Talk of recession began to return to the spotlight ahead of US President Donald Trump’s so-called “Liberation Day,” due on April 2 and on which he promised to unveil a new round of trade tariffs.

“Equity markets are clearly pricing-in a recession: The S&P 500 is down -2% since Fed rate cuts began in September 2024,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter wrote in part of an X thread on the topic.

Kobeissi referred to the Federal Reserve easing of financial policy in the form of interest rate cuts — something now on pause but which markets see resuming in June, per data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.

Fed target rate probabilities for June 18 FOMC meeting. Source: CME Group

While this would be a clear bullish catalyst for crypto and risk assets, Kobeissi noted that history had not favored strong equities rebounds under similar circumstances.

“In the case of rate cuts during a recession, the S&P 500 declined -6% in 6 months -10% within 12 months,” it continued.

“The AVERAGE post-pivot return is +1% in 6 months.”

S&P 500 performance comparison. Source: The Kobeissi Letter/X

Trading firm QCP Capital was similarly cautious about the overall market landscape thanks to macroeconomic forces.

“With consumer confidence plumbing 12-year lows and equity markets already rattled by a 4-5% weekly drawdown, the timing couldn’t be worse,” it wrote about tariffs in its latest bulletin to Telegram channel subscribers. 

“There is a real risk that a broad and aggressive regime could deepen recession fears and send risk assets spiraling. That said, political theatre often leaves room for recalibration. A softer-than-expected rollout could offer markets a brief reprieve.”

BTC price action heads to key resistance

BTC price action thus left market observers keen for stronger signals over momentum, even as fundamental support at $80,000 held firm.

Related: Bitcoin sellers ‘dry up’ as weekly exchange inflows near 2-year low

“Some upside momentum today, but it’s still just a 3-wave move, and resistance is holding strong,” trading channel More Crypto Online summarized about an Elliott Wave schematic for the 30-minute chart, adding that “the rally’s got more to prove.”

BTC/USD 30-minute chart. Source: More Crypto Online/X

Popular trader Jelle noted BTC/USD respecting the 50-week simple moving average (SMA), currently at $76,600, as support.

Bitcoin, he hoped, would reclaim $84,500 as its next leg up, having rejected there earlier in the day.

BTC/USD 1-week chart with 50SMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

QCP meanwhile shared positive news from investors eyeing possible higher levels to come next.

“On our desk, activity was skewed bullish into Asia open,” it reported. 

“Buyers were seen taking topside exposure ($85k-$90k strikes) and selling downside risk ($75k strikes), a potential bet on a firmer start to Q2.”

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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BlackRock, crypto task force discuss ETP staking, tokenization

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Wall Street giant BlackRock met with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Crypto Task Force to discuss staking within crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs) and tokenization of securities. The discussion could advance institutional interest in the crypto industry.

According to a May 9 memo published by the task force, BlackRock sought to “[d]iscuss perspectives on treatment of staking, including considerations for facilitating ETPs with staking capabilities.” The company has previously said that Ether (ETH) exchange-traded funds, while successful, are less perfect without staking.

Other crypto ETF issuers share that view. On Feb. 15, the New York Stock Exchange proposed a rule change to introduce staking services for Grayscale’s spot Ether ETFs. In April, the SEC delayed a decision on whether to approve or disapprove the rule change. BlackRock and Grayscale are behind the largest Ether ETFs by market capitalization, according to Sosovalue.

Ethereum ETFs as of May 8. Source: Sosovalue

Many blockchains rely on proof-of-stake consensus mechanisms that allow users to lock their native coins for yield. A potential SEC approval of staking for Ether ETFs could lead to future requests among altcoins, including Solana (SOL) ETFs.

Tokenization on the agenda

BlackRock also discussed “tokenization of securities under federal securities regulatory framework.” Securities are traditional financial instruments where the investor expects monetary gain, such as bonds and stocks. Tokenizing securities has many benefits, including faster settlement times, lower costs than with traditional finance infrastructure, and 24-hour markets.

BlackRock already offers a US federal debt tokenized fund called BUIDL, the largest fund with a $2.9 billion market cap. Competing products include Franklin Templeton’s BENJI fund.

Brokerage firm Robinhood is also exploring securities tokenization. The company is reportedly working on a blockchain that would allow retail investors in Europe to trade US securities like stocks.

Magazine: Ethereum is destroying the competition in the $16.1T TradFi tokenization race

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Solana price gained 500% the last time this SOL metric turned bullish

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Key Takeaways:

Solana’s 15% surge and potential close above the 50-week EMA signal strong bullish momentum, which previously led to a 515% rally in 2024.

The $120 million in liquidity bridged to Solana reflects growing network confidence.

Solana (SOL) price gained 18% this week, signaling rising bullish momentum. The altcoin is approaching a pivotal point, with a potential close above the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA), a level that has historically catalyzed significant rallies.

In March, SOL dipped below the 50-week EMA and briefly dropped under $100 on April 7. Since then, Solana has staged a strong recovery, reclaiming key EMA levels (100W and 200W), with the 50-week EMA (blue line) now in focus.

Solana 1-week chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Historical patterns reinforce a bullish outlook. In October 2023, SOL breached the 50- and 100-week EMAs, consolidating above these levels before rallying 515% by March 2024.

Notably, the relative strength index (RSI) was below 50 during both periods, mirroring the current setup, with the indicator rebounding above 50 after the 50-week EMA flipped to support. If the 50-week moving average holds, the price targets for SOL could be between $250 and $350 by September 2025.

Solana 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The daily chart bolsters this narrative. Solana recently closed above the 200-day EMA, with immediate resistance at $180. A break above this level in the coming weeks and turning the range into a support level could potentially ignite a parabolic rally by Q3 2025.

Related: Solana lacks ‘convincing signs’ of besting Ethereum: Sygnum

Users bridge $165 million to Solana

In the last 30 days, over $165 million in liquidity has been bridged to Solana from other blockchains, reflecting growing confidence in the network. Ethereum led with $80.4 million in transfers, followed by Arbitrum with $44 million, per Debridge data. Base, BNB Chain, and Sonic contributed $20 million, $8 million, and $6 million, respectively.

Total transferred amount from other chains to Solana. Source: debridge

Similarly, data from DefiLlama indicates that Solana posted the highest decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes, 3.32 billion, over the past 24 hours. The network currently holds 28.99% of the market share among other chains.

With a 28.99% market share among competing chains, Solana’s dominance in DeFi activity highlights its scalability and user adoption.

Currently, substantial liquidity inflows and strong DEX volumes position Solana for a sustained price breakout.

Related: Chance of Bitcoin price highs above $110K in May increasing — Here’s why

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Doodles NFT token stalls after airdrop

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The newly launched DOOD token from Ethereum-based NFT project Doodles has seen a steep drop in market capitalization following its May 9 airdrop on the Solana network.

According to data from DEX Screener, DOOD’s market cap fell from over $100 million shortly after launch to around $60 million at the time of writing.

Overall, the much-anticipated airdrop was “[d]efinitely underwhelming,” a crypto commentator said in a May 9 X post. 

DOOD token performance on May 9. Source: DexScreener

Related: Doodles NFT sales surge 97% ahead of DOOD token airdrop

Falling NFT values

Joining the trend, NFTs in Doodle’s flagship collection sharply dropped in value on May 9.

The collectibles are down roughly 60% to less than 1.5 Ether (ETH) per NFT from about 3.5 ETH on May 8, according to OpenSea. As of May 9, the NFTs are collectively worth around $31 million, according to data from CoinGecko.

The price of Doodles NFTs dropped by roughly 60% after the airdrop. Source: OpenSea

NFT prices often dip immediately after an airdrop, as holders look to capitalize on their allocations by selling into the market. For instance, sales of Doodles’ NFTs surged by some 97% on May 8 in anticipation of the airdrop.

Over the past week, Doodles clocked roughly $2.6 million in total sales volume, up more than 350% from the week prior, according to data from CryptoSlam.

Doodles announced its token launch in February, outlining plans to mint 10 billion DOOD tokens on Solana (SOL) and to eventually bridge them to Base, an Ethereum layer-2.

Doodles is the latest Ethereum-native NFT brand to list a token on the Solana network. It follows Pudgy Penguins, an even larger NFT project that airdropped its PENGU token on Solana in December. 

Similarly to Doodles, Pudgy Penguin’s token dropped by around 50% on the day of its airdrop. 

The PENGU token’s market cap reached an all-time high of roughly $2.8 billion and has since traded down to roughly $900 million, according to CoinGecko.

Magazine: Crypto has 4 years to grow so big ‘no one can shut it down’: Kain Warwick, Infinex

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