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Price analysis 3/26: BTC, ETH, XRP, BNB, SOL, DOGE, ADA, LINK, AVAX, XLM

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Bitcoin (BTC) bulls have maintained the pressure and are attempting to push the price above the $90,000 resistance. A positive sign in favor of the bulls is that the US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds have witnessed net inflows for eight successive trading days, according to SoSoValue data. That indicates institutional investors are gradually buying again.

In another positive, a Bitcoin whale bought 2,400 Bitcoin — worth over $200 million — on March 24 to increase the total holding to more than 15,000 BTC, blockchain analytics firm Arkham Intelligence said in a post on X.

Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

However, a Bitcoin rally may not be easy as bulls are expected to encounter solid selling near $90,000. Alphractal CEO Joao Wedson highlighted in a post on X that whales had closed long positions and initiated short positions on Bitcoin at $88,000. He added that history says the whales are right.

Could Bitcoin break above the stiff overhead resistance, pulling altcoins higher, or is it time for a short-term correction? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin is facing selling at the resistance line, but a positive sign is that the bulls have not allowed the price to dip below the 20-day exponential moving average ($85,825). 

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The flattening 20-day EMA and the relative strength index (RSI) near the midpoint suggest that the bulls have a slight edge. A break and close above the 50-day simple moving average ($89,787) indicates that the correction may be over. The BTC/USDT pair could soar to $95,000 and later to the crucial resistance at $100,000.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it signals that the bulls have given up. That may sink the pair to $83,000 and then to $80,000.

Ether price analysis

Ether’s (ETH) recovery is facing solid resistance at the breakdown level of $2,111, indicating that the bears are unwilling to give up their advantage.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the price continues lower and breaks below $1,937, it will signal that the bears are trying to flip the $2,111 level into resistance. If that happens, the ETH/USDT pair could decline to $1,800.

This negative view will be invalidated in the near term if the price turns up and breaks above $2,111. That opens the doors for a rally to the 50-day SMA ($2,325) and subsequently to $2,550. Such a move will suggest that the pair may have formed a short-term bottom at $1,754.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) is trying to take support at the 20-day EMA ($2.39), suggesting that the bulls are buying on dips.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the price bounces off the 20-day EMA, the bulls will try to push the price to the resistance line. If the price turns down sharply from the resistance line and breaks below the moving averages, it will signal that the bears remain in control. That could keep the XRP/USDT pair stuck between the resistance line and $2 for some more time.

Buyers will be in the driver’s seat on a break and close above the resistance line. The pair may rally to $3 and eventually to $3.40.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) bulls are facing resistance at $644, but a positive sign is that the buyers have not given up much ground to the bears.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($616) has started to turn up, and the RSI is in the positive zone, suggesting that the path of least resistance is to the upside. If buyers drive the price above $644, the BNB/USDT pair could ascend to $686. This level may again act as a strong barrier, but if the bulls overcome it, the pair may rally to $745.

The first sign of weakness will be a break and close below the 20-day EMA. That may pull the price down toward the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $591.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) broke and closed above the 20-day EMA ($136) on March 24, suggesting the start of a relief rally.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The 50-day SMA ($155) may act as a resistance, but if the bulls prevail, the SOL/USDT pair could rally to $180. Sellers are expected to aggressively defend the $180 level. If the price turns down sharply from $180 and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will signal a possible range formation in the near term. The pair may consolidate between $110 and $180 for some time.

Instead, if buyers drive the price above $180, it suggests that the pair has started its journey toward the top of the large $110 to $260 range.

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) rose and closed above the 20-day EMA ($0.18) on March 25, suggesting the start of a sustained recovery.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The DOGE/USDT pair is facing selling at the 50-day SMA ($0.21). If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, it will signal buying on dips. The bulls will try to propel the pair to $0.24 and later to $0.29.

On the other hand, if the price skids below the 20-day EMA, it will indicate that bears continue to sell on rallies. The pair may drop to $0.16 and then to the crucial support at $0.14.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano (ADA) bulls pushed the price above the 50-day SMA ($0.75) but are struggling to sustain the higher levels.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the price breaks below the 20-day EMA, the bears will attempt to pull the ADA/USDT pair to the uptrend line. This is an important level for the bulls to defend because a break below it could tilt the advantage in favor of the bears. The pair could then descend to $0.58 and, after that, to $0.50.

If buyers want to seize control, they will have to push and maintain the price above the 50-day SMA. If they manage to do that, the pair could rise to $0.84. This level may act as a strong resistance, but if the bulls prevail, the pair may climb to $1.02.

Related: Bitcoin price just ditched a 3-month downtrend as ‘key shift’ begins

Chainlink price analysis

Chainlink (LINK) has moved up to the 50-day SMA ($16.12), which is likely to act as a stiff resistance.

LINK/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the price turns down from the 50-day SMA, the LINK/USDT pair may find support at the 20-day EMA ($14.75). A strong rebound off the 20-day EMA increases the likelihood of a break above the 50-day SMA. The pair could climb to $17.7 and later to the resistance line.

If bears want to prevent the upside, they will have to swiftly pull the price back below the 20-day EMA. The pair could slump to $13.82 and thereafter to the channel’s support line.

Avalanche price analysis

Avalanche’s (AVAX) relief rally rose above the 50-day SMA ($22.10) on March 25, indicating that the downtrend could be ending.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($20.42) has started to turn up, and the RSI has jumped into the positive zone, signaling an advantage to buyers. If the AVAX/USDT pair turns down from the current level but finds support at the 20-day EMA, it suggests a change in sentiment from selling on rallies to buying on dips. That improves the prospects of a rally to $27.23.

On the contrary, a break and close below the 20-day EMA signals a range formation between $25.12 and $15.27.

Stellar price analysis

Stellar (XLM) recovered to the breakdown level of $0.31, where the bears are expected to mount a strong defense.

XLM/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the price turns down from $0.31 and breaks below $0.27, it will suggest that the bears are active at higher levels. That heightens the risk of a drop to the critical support at $0.22, where buyers are expected to step in.

Alternatively, a break and close above $0.31 signals that the markets have rejected the breakdown. The XLM/USDT pair may rise to the downtrend line, which could again pose a substantial challenge. A break and close above the downtrend line suggests a potential trend change.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Ethereum price may have bottomed, but pro traders show little interest in buying ETH

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Ether (ETH) price has risen 6.4% from its March 30 $1,768 low but the altcoin has struggled to regain the $2,000 level. Some traders believe that the downturn is partially connected to the deflating memecoin market, which, while not exclusive to the Ethereum network, significantly reduced activity across the decentralized applications (DApps) ecosystem and broader crypto space.

Ether is currently 44% down year-to-date, and derivatives metrics indicate that traders are far from bullish and show little confidence in a strong recovery in the near term. Proof of this can be found in the premium on Ether futures relative to spot markets. 

While the figure rose to 4% on April 2, up from 2% on March 31, it is still below the neutral 5% threshold. This data indicates that Ether investors remain far from turning bullish, despite the strengthening support at the $1,800 price level.

Ether 2-month futures annualized premium. Source: Laevitas.ch

To assess whether whales and market makers lack confidence in Ether’s performance, one should analyze the ETH options market. Under neutral conditions, the 25% delta skew should be balanced between call (buy) and put (sell) options, typically ranging from -6% to 6%.

Deribit ETH 30-day options 25% delta skew (put-call). Source: Laevitas.ch

The Ether delta skew metric has retreated from the 9% level seen on March 31, yet the current 7% reading suggests that risk-aversion sentiment remains strong. The rising cost of hedging indicates that whales fear further downside for ETH, suggesting it may take longer for traders to regain confidence.

Ethereum adoption remains strong despite DApps revenue drop

It’s easy to attribute much of Ether’s price decline to the 49% drop in Ethereum DApps revenue between January and March. However, while the reduced network activity limits the influx of new users and dampens overall demand for ETH, its advantages over traditional financial markets and its dominance in decentralized finance (DeFi) remain unchanged.

The stablecoin holdings on Ethereum are nearing an all-time high of $124.5 billion, and Ethereum is still the undisputed leader, with $49 billion in total value locked (TVL). This data suggests significant potential for ETH adoption, particularly as new use cases emerge, such as structured products and more complex DeFi applications leveraging synthetic assets.

Despite the early struggles of metaverse applications, declining interest in memecoins, and the sharp downturn in non-fungible token (NFT) marketplace activity, the Ethereum network continues to expand.

ETH funding rate neutral as ETFs dampen retail trading enthusiasm

Instead of focusing solely on how professional traders are positioned, it is also valuable to assess retail investors’ sentiment. Perpetual futures (inverse swaps) typically follow spot prices closely, as leverage imbalances are corrected through a fee known as the funding rate, which is charged every eight hours. In neutral markets, this rate fluctuates between 0.1% and 0.3% over a seven-day period.

Ether 8-hour perpetual futures funding rate. Source: Laevitas.ch

The ETH perpetual funding rate has been neutral since March 31, indicating that retail traders are not attempting to catch a falling knife. A key factor behind this lack of enthusiasm is the spot Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which saw $37 million in net outflows over the past two weeks.

While derivatives data is often backward-looking and does not necessarily signal further ETH price declines, sentiment could shift quickly given the positive momentum from the Trump family’s World Liberty Financial investment in ETH and Eric Trump’s vocal support for Ether. For the time being, professional traders and retail investors remain cautious about ETH’s price outlook.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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DoubleZero protocol announces validator token sale

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The DoubleZero Protocol, a blockchain infrastructure network aiming to multiply speeds and efficiency for distributed networks, announced a validator token sale to sell token-purchase agreements for its native token to prospective validators.

Applications for the sale will be accepted April 2-10 through the CoinList platform, marking its first public token sale in the United States since 2019. The round is only available to accredited investors.

According to the protocol, only validators currently serving the high-throughput Solana, Celestia, Sui, Aptos, and Avalanche networks are eligible to apply.

Interested parties are invited to submit bids declaring a per-unit token price and maximum budgets, which will be aggregated to determine the final sale price offered to the participating validators.

A diagram of the DoubleZero validator funding round process. Source: CoinList

In a statement to Cointelegraph, Austin Federa, co-founder of the Double Zero protocol and former Strategy lead at the Solana Foundation, said:

“The DoubleZero CoinList sale is a first-of-its-kind opportunity for the validators who are already securing the most performant and distributed blockchains. It opens access to infrastructure that will power the next generation of distributed systems.”

“This industry has seen huge investment and innovation at the top of the stack — it is time to revolutionize the physical infrastructure layer powering high-performance distributed systems,” Federa said in the statement.

The token-purchase agreement comes amid a recent uptick in capital fundraising from crypto firms and crypto venture capitalists — suggesting that the market has room to grow in 2025.

Related: Crypto VC giant targets $1B for new funds, expects oversubscription — Report

DoubleZero protocol targets mainnet launch in the second half of 2025

The DoubleZero Protocol is aiming to launch its mainnet during the second half of 2025 following a successful $28 million fundraising round completed in March.

Crypto venture capital firms Multicoin Capital and Dragonfly Capital led the most recent fundraising round.

First page of the DoubleZero Protocol white paper. Source: DoubleZero

DoubleZero aims to increase the speed and communication of blockchain networks by using a dedicated network of fiber optics to provide the physical infrastructure for high-speed, low-latency blockchain connectivity.

The focus on a dedicated fiber optic network for higher speeds is similar to the shift from dial-up internet that used 56K modems operating through 20th-century telecommunication infrastructure to broadband systems in the early 2000s.

Magazine: Is measuring blockchain transactions per second (TPS) stupid in 2024? Big Questions

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West Virginia's BTC reserve bill is 'freedom' from a CBDC — State Senator

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West Virginia’s Bitcoin (BTC) strategic reserve bill would give the state more sovereignty from the federal government and freedom from a potential central bank digital currency (CBDC), State Senator Chris Rose told Cointelegraph in an exclusive interview.

“You hear these rumors that there are people at the federal government that will want to have a central bank digital currency,” Rose said. “And people don’t want that. People want decentralized currency. They want freedom.”

The bill, introduced in February, seeks to allow the state treasury to invest up to 10% of public funds in precious metals like gold and silver, stablecoins, or any digital asset that has had a $750 million market capitalization or higher over the last 12 months. Currently, the only digital asset with such a market cap is Bitcoin.

West Virginia State Senator Chris Rose. Source: Cointelegraph

Rose, the bill’s sponsor, said that the reason they decided on the market cap requirement was to allow the state to have exposure to cryptocurrency, but not to get trapped “in any things like memecoins.”

Adopting Bitcoin on the state level would “give us a little more state sovereignty,” Rose added. “And I think that’s one reason why you see a lot of people who normally buy [Bitcoin] for themselves want to see their state government do the same.”

He added that a 10% allocation of state funds would be a “good way to introduce [Bitcoin] to the state” while avoiding any fear from people who don’t understand digital assets. “It’s a good way to cap that where they feel comfortable, but also give us at least a decent exposure as well.”

Bitcoin: “a very powerful” investment and freedom tool

Rose said that one of the roadblocks to getting the bill passed is fear, in particular among those who don’t understand cryptocurrency. “Just like any other state, we have people who understand it. We also have people that don’t understand it, and people are always afraid of what they don’t know.”

He added that “once they understand it, they realize it’s a very powerful investment tool and freedom tool for every one of us to adopt.”

Excerpt of West Virginia Bitcoin reserve bill. Source: West Virginia Legislature

West Virginia Governor Patrick Morrisey, who has envisioned a future state economy powered by crypto and other tech, won’t be a roadblock, Rose said. And the state treasurer, whom Rose consulted before introducing the bill, won’t either.

However, according to WVNews, a West Virginia publication, some lawmakers and financial experts remain skeptical. Investing state funds into Bitcoin may be risky due to the asset’s volatility and price swings, which can cause financial instability and make Bitcoin a controversial choice for state investments.

Although Bitcoin strategic reserve bills have been popping up in state legislatures around the United States, some bills have failed to pass or have scrapped key provisions, including some of those in traditionally conservative states.

Currently, 47 strategic Bitcoin reserve bills have been introduced in 26 states according to Bitcoin Laws. While, in most of the states, the bills have only been introduced or referred to committees, some have made headway in three: Arizona, Oklahoma, and Texas.

Related: Texas Senate passes Bitcoin strategic reserve bill

Rose clarified that the 10% of state funds allocated to precious metals, stablecoins, or Bitcoin would be sourced from two key areas.

“It would be the assets under the pensions fund and under the severance tax fund,” Rose said. “They would be able to divest some of those ETF funds into these assets. We wanted to keep it separate from the petty cash fund, which is day-to-day, just paying the bills of the state. We wanted to keep it to our longer-term assets,” he added.

Magazine: X Hall of Flame, Benjamin Cowen: Bitcoin dominance will fall in 2025

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