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Ripple celebrates SEC’s dropped appeal, but crypto rules still not set

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Ripple is celebrating the United States Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) decision not to pursue a court case against the firm, but it provides little legal certainty for the crypto industry. 

The US financial regulator has apparently dropped an appeal against Ripple, the issuing firm of crypto asset XRP. The industry saw the case as a prime example of regulatory overreach by the SEC under former chair Gary Gensler.

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said the decision “provides a lot of certainty for RIpple” and that while the case is effectively over, there are still some loose ends the firm needs to tie up with the SEC. “We now are in the driver’s seat to determine how we want to proceed.”

Stuart Alderoty, Ripple’s chief legal officer, wrote on X, “Today, Ripple moves forward — stronger than ever. This landmark case set a precedent for the domestic crypto industry.”

Ripple and the crypto industry as a whole are counting this as a major victory, but the SEC’s decision provides no legal precedent, and the “guardrails” the industry has lobbied for are yet to be defined. 

Consequences of Ripple case on lawmaking and precedent

The cryptocurrency lobby was quick to celebrate the SEC decision, announced by Garlinghouse at the Digital Asset Summit in New York on March 19. Markets took notice — XRP price spiked 9% in the first hour following the announcement.

Supporters and observers posted on X about the precedent the case would set for the crypto industry. But legal observers are less certain about the overall impact the SEC’s appeal decision will have on the broader crypto industry.

Lawyer Aaron Brogan told Cointelegraph that the Ripple case “creates no precedent that any other firm can rely on.” He added there is “no question that the regulatory environment is more favorable to crypto firms today,” but the SEC’s exact policy won’t become clear until Paul Atkins is nominated as chair of the commission.

Related: Crypto regulation must go through Congress for lasting change — Wiley Nickel

Brian Grace, general counsel at the Metaplex Decentralized Autonomous Organization, further noted that the 2023 decision to which the SEC was appealing does not set a legal precedent.

He wrote on March 19, “The Ripple decision is not binding legal precedent. It was a single district court judge’s ruling based on the facts of that case.” 

The SEC appeal repeal also has limited influence on the ongoing legislative efforts to create a framework for the cryptocurrency industry in the US. Grace said that the onus is on Congress, not the SEC, to make lasting legal changes for the cryptocurrency industry. 

“The U.S. crypto industry needs new legislation to provide clarity and protection. Without it, the Plaintiffs bar can continue to sue in district courts across the country relying on Howey. A friendly SEC also does not change this. We need a crypto market structure law,” he said

Brogan said that he didn’t think the decision would have any direct effect on the lawmaking process, but the SEC could still solve questions regarding rulemaking.

“I think many in Congress would welcome that as the market structure legislation currently percolating appears dead in the water,” he said.

Garlinghouse wants to tie up loose ends with SEC

The SEC appeal decision may put the “final exclamation point” on whether XRP is a security, but the legal battle between Ripple and the SEC could be set to rage on.

In a March 19 Bloomberg interview, Garlinghouse brought up the possibility of going on the offensive with a cross-appeal, i.e. an appeal from an appellee requesting that a higher court review a lower court’s decision. 

Related: Bitnomial drops SEC lawsuit ahead of XRP futures launch in the US

Namely, Garlinghouse wants to revisit the 2023 decision in which Judge Analisa Torres, while ruling Ripple’s publicly sold tokens did not constitute a security, levied a $125 million fine on Ripple, stating that the tokens should have been sold to institutional investors. 

The firm is also subject to a five-year “bad actor” prohibition on fundraising which, says Brogan, could meaningfully impact its operations. 

“At this point, all we’re fighting for is do we want to fight to get the $125 million back,” said Garlinghouse.

He added that while the XRP-securities decision was a “clear legal victory,” there are “pieces of it that we think could be kind of cleaned up. And the question is, do we want to fight that fight? Or can we come to an agreement with the SEC to drop everything?”

Outside of the courtroom, Congress is still working to make meaningful progress on the stablecoin bill. Bo Hines, the executive director of the President’s Council of Advisers on Digital Assets, expects the final version to be ready in a couple of months. 

The crypto framework bill FIT 21 failed to make it through the Senate in the 2024 legislative session, but some lawmakers are optimistic that it will make it through this session with “modest changes.”

The Blockchain Association, a crypto lobby group, expects both laws to pass by August, while US Representative Ro Khanna, a Democrat from California, says they could be finalized by year’s end. 

Magazine: Memecoins are ded — But Solana ‘100x better’ despite revenue plunge

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SEC Chair: Blockchain 'holds promise' of new kinds of market activity

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Blockchain technology could enable “a broad swath of novel use cases for securities” and foster “new kinds of market activities that many of the Commission’s legacy rules and regulations do not contemplate today,” Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Paul Atkins said.

During his keynote address at the Commission’s May 12 roundtable on tokenization and digital assets, Atkins welcomed “a new day at the SEC,” adding that “policymaking will no longer result from ad hoc enforcement actions. Instead, the Commission will utilize its existing rulemaking, interpretive, and exemptive authorities to set fit-for-purpose standards for market participants.”

Source: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

A key priority will be to “develop a rational regulatory framework for crypto asset markets that establishes clear rules of the road for the issuance, custody, and trading of crypto assets while continuing to discourage bad actors from violating the law.”

In particular, Atkins said the SEC would focus on establishing “clear and sensible guidelines” for crypto assets that could be considered securities. Another area of focus would be to allow brokers to offer a broader range of investment products on their platforms, which in some cases may mix securities and non-securities.

Atkins’ approach moves away from former SEC Chair Gary Gensler’s, whose tenure was criticized by some industry participants for its “regulation by enforcement” method of oversight.

Securities evolution

Atkins likened the tokenization of securities to the evolution of audio formats — from vinyl to cassettes to digital software — highlighting how each shift enhanced compatibility and interoperability across a wide range of devices and applications. This progression eventually gave rise to streaming content business models, which he said “greatly benefited consumers and the American economy.”

SEC’s Crypto Task Force Roundtable on May 12. Source: SEC

Securities tokenization is an ongoing topic at the intersection of traditional finance and crypto. Some asset management firms, like BlackRock and Franklin Templeton, have already jumped into tokenization through their respective BUIDL and BENJI tokenized US treasury funds. Robinhood is considering building a blockchain to allow European retail investors to trade tokenized US securities.

Tokenized securities may attract interest from firms and brokerages due to features such as faster settlement times, reduced reliance on traditional financial infrastructure, and improved accessibility. Tokenization may also help provide liquidity to asset classes that have historically been illiquid.

According to RWA.xyz, $22.6 billion of real-world assets are onchain, a 7.6% rise in the past 30 days. That doesn’t include stablecoins, which are often backed by real-world assets like treasury bills. Stablecoins have a $243 billion market capitalization as of May 12, according to data from DefiLlama. Tether’s USDt (USDT) alone has a market cap of $150.6 billion.

Magazine: SEC’s U-turn on crypto leaves key questions unanswered

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US prosecutors recommend 2 years for SEC hacker

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The US government has asked a federal judge to impose a two-year sentence for Eric Council Jr., the individual who helped post a fake message announcing the approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds through the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC’s) X account.

In a May 12 filing in the US District Court for the District of Columbia, prosecutors recommended Judge Amy Berman Jackson sentence Council to two years in prison for his role in posting a message to the social media platform X suggesting that the SEC had approved spot Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for the first time in January 2024. The fake announcement, which shook markets in the roughly 24 hours before the regulator actually approved spot Bitcoin ETFs, led to the arrest of Council.

“This case deserves a guidelines range prison sentence,” said US prosecutors. “Defendant profited through a sophisticated fraud scheme involving fraudulently produced identification documents, a series of misrepresentations at telecommunication stores, and the transmission of password reset codes for victim online accounts to co-conspirators located in the United States and abroad. This conduct deserves a significant penalty.”

US government’s May 12 sentencing recommendation for Eric Council. Source: PACER

As of May 12, Council’s legal team had not filed a response to the sentencing recommendation. He is scheduled to appear before Judge Jackson on May 16.

Related: Ledger secures Discord after hacker bot tried to steal seed phrases

Council pleaded guilty to being part of a group that took control of the SEC’s X account through a SIM swap attack. With control of the regulator’s social media account, the hackers posted a fake message announcing the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs. The SEC quickly removed the message and announced official approval of the crypto investment vehicles the following day.

Many in the crypto industry had been anticipating whether the SEC would approve or disapprove of listing spot BTC investment vehicles on US exchanges when the fake X post appeared. The price of Bitcoin surged by more than $1,000 before then-SEC Chair Gary Gensler refuted the false post’s claims.

DOJ leadership change-up under Trump

The Council case and others will be decided under US Attorney picks who have not received confirmation in the Senate. President Donald Trump appointed interim leadership for the Eastern District of New York, the Southern District of New York, and the District of Columbia after facing pushback from Democrats.

It’s unclear how the president’s influence could affect the Justice Department pursuing criminal cases involving digital assets, given his ties to the industry and his own crypto holdings. In New York’s Southern District, a judge ordered former Celsius CEO Alex Mashinsky to 12 years in prison after a December 2024 guilty plea. 

Magazine: SEC’s U-turn on crypto leaves key questions unanswered

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Bitcoin profit taking at $106K the first stop before new all-time BTC price highs

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Key Takeaways:

Bitcoin exhibits a bearish breakout from an ascending channel, with the risk of profit-taking near $106,000.

A lower-than-expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) print could boost Bitcoin, but a higher CPI may increase bearish pressure, leading to a price drop below $100,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) price reached an intraday high of $105,800 on May 12 but posted a 3% dip to $101,400 during the New York trading session. On the lower-time frame (LTF) chart, BTC oscillated between an ascending channel pattern before exhibiting a bearish breakout below the bottom range of the pattern.

Bitcoin 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

With respect to BTC’s stalling bullish momentum, data analytics platform Alphractal noted that BTC re-testing nearing $106,000 resistance levels increased the likelihood of profit-taking risks. As illustrated in the chart, Bitcoin currently approaches the “Alpha Price” zone, where long-term holders or whales could take profits, according to Joao Wedson, CEO of Alphractal. 

Bitcoin Alpha Price Levels. Source: X.com

From a liquidation standpoint, the risk of a “long” squeeze is also elevated, with over $3.4 billion in leveraged long positions at risk of liquidation if prices drop to $100,000. This range could act as a magnet for price, leading to a retest near the psychological level.

Bitcoin exchange liquidation map. Source: CoinGlass

Related: Bitcoin all-time high cues come as US-China deal sends DXY to 1-month high

CPI data looms as Bitcoin traders de-risk

The current BTC correction might reflect traders de-risking ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on May 13. Previously, March’s CPI, released April 10, was 2.4%, down from February’s 2.8%, despite a forecast of 2.5%. April’s CPI is forecasted to remain at 2.4%, due to steady energy prices amid balanced oil production and moderating wage growth, easing pressure on price increases.

US Consumer Price Index data. Source: Investing.com

A lower-than-expected CPI (potentially third in a row) could be bullish for Bitcoin, potentially signaling Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025, boosting risk assets like equities and cryptocurrencies. Conversely, a higher-than-expected CPI could be bearish, raising inflation fears and strengthening the dollar, pressuring BTC.

If bearish pressure persists on BTC charts even after the CPI print, an immediate key area of interest remains between $100,500 and $99,700, a fair value gap (FVG) on the four-hour chart.

Another FVG remains between $98,680 and $97,363, which would represent an 8% correction from the recent highs.

Bitcoin 4-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Related: Bitcoin, altcoins poised to rally on US-China tariff agreement

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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