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Rising XRP spot market volumes hint at next stage of a parabolic price rally — Analyst

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XRP (XRP) price rallied 16% less than 24 hours after news that Ripple’s legal dispute with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) could end made headlines on March 19. However, XRP has shed half of its gains over the past two days, losing position below an important level at $2.50.

XRP rally continues to be spot-driven

XRP matched its all-time high of $3.40 on Jan. 16 as soaring spot buy volumes provided a sustainable parabolic rally that lasted for weeks.

A similar outlook is taking shape again in the XRP market today. Data from Velo suggests that the aggregated spot tape CVD turned positive for the first time since late January. 

XRP price and aggregated spot tape data. Source: Velo.chart

The aggregated spot tape cumulative trade delta indicator tracks the net difference between the aggressive buy and sell trades across multiple exchanges. When the indicator turns green and rises above zero, it signals growing buying pressure as market buy trades outnumber sell trades. This upward trend reflects persistent buyer aggression, triggering a price rise.

XRP price, open interest and aggregated premium data. Source: Velo.chart

A negative aggregated premium on open interest implied that the futures market has continued to bid against an XRP price rise. This means the current situation is a tussle between bullish spots and bearish perps. 

Related: Why is the crypto market down today?

XRP may tag $2 first before chasing new highs

CrediBULL Crypto, an anonymous crypto trader, implied that XRP is on track for an all-time high above $3.40 in the next few weeks, but the crypto asset will potentially retest its immediate lows around $2 before embarking on an uptrend. 

Using a Power of 3 technical setup, the trader said that XRP is currently in an accumulation range. This is expected to be followed by a manipulation period, where prices will potentially take out downside liquidity around $1.80 to $2.

Dom, a markets analyst, said XRP’s all-time high volume weighted average price (VWAP) is still a bullish threshold for XRP, and the altcoin must “stabilize” around the $2.50 level.

XRP analysis by Dom. Source: X.com

While the immediate directional bias is hard to predict, XRP’s long-term market structure remained “constructive,” and one of the extremes ranges at $3 and $2, should be breached over the next few days. 

From a technical perspective, XRP could avoid a $2 dip if the prices establish a bullish close above $2.65. This creates a positive break of structure (BOS) for the token, which might convince futures traders to adopt a bullish outlook alongside spot traders.

XRP 4-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

On the contrary, a close below $2.23 nullifies XRP’s recent price action and reinstates the overall bearish trend. Retaining a position above the incline support (black trendline) is necessary for a higher high trend over the next few days. 

Despite bullish spot activity, XRP prices linger without a decisive trend shift. The market drifts in sideways consolidation, with bulls and bears locked in a tug-of-war for control.

Related: XRP price chart hints at 75% gains next as SEC ends lawsuit against Ripple

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Coin Market

Bitcoin adoption in EU limited by ‘fragmented’ regulations — Analysts

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Institutional adoption of Bitcoin in the European Union remains sluggish, even as the United States moves forward with landmark cryptocurrency regulations that seek to establish BTC as a national reserve asset.

More than three weeks after President Donald Trump’s March 7 executive order outlined plans to use cryptocurrency seized in criminal cases to create a federal Bitcoin (BTC) reserve, European companies have largely remained silent on the issue.

The stagnation may stem from Europe’s complex regulatory regime, according to Elisenda Fabrega, general counsel at Brickken, a European real-world asset (RWA) tokenization platform.

“European corporate adoption remains limited,” Fabrega told Cointelegraph, adding:

“This hesitation reflects a deeper structural divide, rooted in regulation, institutional signaling and market maturity. Europe has yet to take a definitive stance on Bitcoin as a reserve asset.”

Bitcoin’s economic model favors early adopters, which may pressure more investment firms to consider gaining exposure to BTC. The asset has outperformed most major global assets since Trump’s election despite a recent correction.

Asset performance since Trump’s election victory. Source: Thomas Fahrer

Despite Trump’s executive order, only a small number of European companies have publicly disclosed Bitcoin holdings or crypto services. These include French banking giant BNP Paribas, Swiss firm 21Shares AG, VanEck Europe, Malta-based Jacobi Asset Management and Austrian fintech firm Bitpanda.

A recent Bitpanda survey suggests that European financial institutions may be underestimating crypto investor demand by as much as 30%.

Related: Friday’s US inflation report may catalyze a Bitcoin April rally

Europe’s “fragmented” regulatory landscape lacks clarity

The EU’s slower adoption appears tied to its patchwork of regulations and more conservative investment mandates, analysts at Bitfinex told Cointelegraph. “Europe’s institutional landscape is more fragmented, with regulatory hurdles and conservative investment mandates limiting Bitcoin allocations.”

“Additionally, European pension funds and large asset managers have been slower to adopt Bitcoin exposure due to unclear guidelines and risk aversion,” they added.

Related: Bitcoin ‘more likely’ to hit $110K before $76.5K — Arthur Hayes

Beyond the fragmented regulations, European retail investor appetite and retail participation are generally lower than in the US, according to Iliya Kalchev, dispatch analyst at digital asset investment platform Nexo.

Europe is “generally more conservative in adopting new financial instruments,” the analyst told Cointelegraph, adding:

“This stands in stark contrast to the deep, liquid, and relatively unified US capital market, where the spot Bitcoin ETF rollout was buoyed by strong retail demand and a clear regulatory green light.”

iShares Bitcoin ETP listings. Source: BlackRock

BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, launched a Bitcoin exchange-traded product (ETP) in Europe on March 25, a development that may boost institutional confidence among European investors.

Magazine: Bitcoiner sex trap extortion? BTS firm’s blockchain disaster: Asia Express

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Sonic Labs ditch algorithmic USD stablecoin for UAE dirham alternative

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Sonic Labs has canceled plans to launch a US dollar-pegged algorithmic stablecoin, opting instead to develop a United Arab Emirates dirham-denominated alternative.

On March 22, Sonic Labs co-founder Andre Cronje said the company was working on a US dollar-pegged algorithmic stablecoin with an annual percentage rate (APR) of up to 23%, Cointelegraph reported.

However, one week later, the firm reversed course.

“We will no longer be releasing a USD based algorithmic stable coin,” Cronje said in a March 28 X post. “Completely unrelated, we will be releasing a mathematically bound numerical Dirham which is settled and denominated in USD, which is definitely not a USD based algorithmic stable coin.”

The shift in strategy comes shortly after the UAE announced it would launch its digital dirham central bank digital currency (CBDC) in the fourth quarter of 2025.

Source: Andre Cronje

Khaled Mohamed Balama, governor of the Central Bank of the UAE, said the blockchain-based dirham could enhance financial stability and help combat financial crime. The digital currency will be accepted alongside its physical counterpart in all payment channels, according to a report from the Khaleej Times.

Related: Paolo Ardoino: Competitors and politicians intend to ‘kill Tether’

Sonic faced criticism over stablecoin plans

The reversal follows widespread criticism of Sonic’s original plan to launch an algorithmic stablecoin — a model that has raised concerns across the crypto industry since the collapse of the Terra ecosystem in 2022.

Cronje himself previously admitted to experiencing Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) related to algorithmic stablecoin due to previous cycles:

“Pretty sure our team cracked algo stable coins today, but previous cycle gave me so much PTSD not sure if we should implement.”

In May 2022, the $40 billion Terra ecosystem collapsed, erasing tens of billions of dollars of value in a matter of days. Terra’s algorithmic stablecoin, TerraUSD (UST), had been yielding an over 20% annual percentage yield (APY) on Anchor Protocol prior to its collapse.

As UST lost its dollar peg, crashing to a low of around $0.30, Terraform Labs co-founder Do Kwon took to X (then Twitter) to share his rescue plan. At the same time, the value of sister token LUNA — once a top 10 crypto project by market capitalization — plunged over 98% to $0.84. LUNA was trading north of $120 in early April 2022.

Related: Tether’s US treasury holdings surpass Canada, Taiwan, ranks 7th globally

The collapse of the algorithmic stablecoin issuer created shockwaves among both crypto investors and lawmakers.

To reduce systemic risk, the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) bill will prohibit algorithmic stablecoins to avoid another Terra-like failure.

Meanwhile, stablecoins are increasingly being used for smaller, everyday payments rather than large transfers, according to CoinFund managing partner David Pakman.

“We’ve seen a significant decrease in the size of each stablecoin transaction, which points to the fact that they are being used more as payments and less for large transfers,” Pakman said during Cointelegraph’s Chainreaction live show on X on March 27.

Magazine: Ripple says SEC lawsuit ‘over,’ Trump at DAS, and more: Hodler’s Digest, March 16 – 22

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$1T stablecoin supply could drive next crypto rally — CoinFund’s Pakman

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The global stablecoin supply could surge to $1 trillion by the end of 2025, potentially becoming a key catalyst for broader cryptocurrency market growth, according to CoinFund managing partner David Pakman.

“We’re in a stablecoin adoption upswell that’s likely to increase dramatically this year,” Pakman said during Cointelegraph’s Chainreaction live show on X on March 27. “We could go from $225 billion stablecoins to $1 trillion just this calendar year.”

He noted that such growth, while modest compared to global financial markets, would represent a “meaningfully significant” shift for blockchain-based finance.

Pakman also suggested that the rise in capital flowing onchain, combined with growing interest in exchange-traded funds (ETFs), could further support decentralized finance (DeFi) activity:

“If we have a moment this year where ETFs are permitted to provide staking rewards or yield to holders, that unlocks really meaningful uplift in DeFi activity, broadly defined.”

https://t.co/v9lOnk00QY

— Cointelegraph (@Cointelegraph) March 27, 2025

Related: BlackRock Bitcoin ETP ‘key’ for EU adoption despite low inflow expectations

The aggregate stablecoin supply stood at an all-time high of above $208 billion across the five largest stablecoins on March 28, according to Glassnode data.

Stablecoins, aggregate supplies. Source: Glassnode 

“This is the major catalyst that’s been missing for over a decade: a major movement of people’s wealth onchain that brings everyone else on,” added Pakman.

The growing stablecoin supply recently surpassed $219 billion and continues to rise, suggesting that the market is “likely still mid-cycle” as opposed to the top of the bull run, according to IntoTheBlock analysts.

Related: Most EU banks fail to meet rising crypto investor demand — Survey

Stablecoin payment adoption on the rise

Stablecoins use for daily payments is on the rise, illustrating the efficacy of blockchain-based transactions.

“We’re up over 22x in stablecoin volume since 2021,” Pakman said, adding:

“We’ve seen a significant decrease in the size of each stablecoin transaction, which points to the fact that they are being used more as payments and less for large transfers.”

BTC-to-stablecoin ratio. Source: Ki Young Ju

That aligns with recent comments from CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju, who said stablecoins are increasingly being used for remittance payments and as a store of value. However, Ju said stablecoin supply won’t pump Bitcoin’s (BTC) price without additional catalysts.

Magazine: Bitcoin $500K prediction, spot Ether ETF ‘staking issue’— Thomas Fahrer, X Hall of Flame

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