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The Economist’s US presidential forecast gives Joe Biden a 34% chance of staving off a second Trump term

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Forecast predicts Donald Trump has a small but clear two-thirds lead in the 2024 election  

WASHINGTON, June 12, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Today The Economist launched its statistical forecast model for the 2024 US presidential election, which, at the moment, gives Joe Biden a 34% chance of holding on to the presidency.

Mr. Biden trails in polling averages in all six plausibly decisive states, with deficits ranging from one to six percentage points. In the two where he is closest, Wisconsin and Michigan, Democratic candidates’ margins have under-performed the final polls by an average of six percentage points during the past two elections. And even if he wins both, he would still need one more swing state to secure the 270 electoral votes necessary for re-election.

“Our 2024 forecast deploys rigorous statistical methods, but ultimately reflects the data that go into it. Donald Trump leads polls nationally and in every swing state. Unless and until that changes, the model will make Trump at least a narrow favorite,” said Dan Rosenheck, data editor.

As of June 12th, The Economist forecast model suggests:

Biden is slightly more likely to gain ground on Trump during the next five months than to lose it

On average, the model predicts Biden to pick up half a percentage point nationwide, yielding a tie in the popular vote

Biden has a 24% chance of holding on to Georgia, where his lost popularity with black voters is most damaging, and a 31% and 36% chance in Arizona and Nevada, respectively

Read Dan Rosenheck’s analysis of The Economist’s forecast model here:
https://www.economist.com/US-forecast-analysis

About The Economist
With rigorous reporting, in-depth analysis and global perspective, The Economist explains today’s most important events and seeks to discern the trends that will shape the future. In addition to the weekly print edition, The Economist publishes its journalism daily through its website, app, podcasts, newsletters, videos and Espresso, an app for concise global news. The Economist has 1.2m subscribers. More than 60m people follow The Economist across X (formerly Twitter), Facebook, Instagram, YouTube, LinkedIn, TikTok and Threads.

About the forecast model
The model is updated every day and combines state and national polls with economic indicators to predict the election results across the country. To work out the likely electoral-vote totals, we run over 10,000 simulations of the election. 

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SOURCE The Economist

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Boost Your Marketing with Kwanjai.guru: Free Tools to Keep You on Trend

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BANGKOK, Nov. 11, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — In business, “data is power” and “keywords are the key to success.” Kwanjai.guru is a platform that simplifies online marketing planning and execution, helping businesses discover new opportunities, transition from a competitive Red Ocean to a niche Blue Ocean, and stay adaptable to market changes. It also serves as an online knowledge hub with expert reviews on products and services, providing accurate information to help businesses and consumers make confident decisions.

History and Vision of Kwanjai.guru

The website was created to offer free, easy-to-use market analysis and keyword research tools, allowing entrepreneurs to compete without the high cost of premium tools. It also aims to be a trusted resource for product and service reviews, helping consumers make informed purchasing decisions.

Key Features That Make Kwanjai.guru Stand Out

• Advanced Keyword Analysis Tools: The platform provides detailed keyword analysis, with data tracking back to 2021, offering deeper insights for effective marketing strategies.
• Free Access: Kwanjai.guru is entirely free, making it ideal for small businesses and beginners.
• Variety of Tools: It offers multiple free tools for daily life, education, work, and finance.
• Product Reviews by Experts: Detailed product and service reviews by industry professionals help both businesses and consumers.

Future Developments

Kwanjai.guru plans to expand with new tools and features to support deeper market analysis and enhanced decision-making. These additions will meet the growing needs of users in marketing and daily operations.

We hope Kwanjai.guru meets your needs and interests, helping reduce operational costs and support informed decisions.

For inquiries, contact us at:
Website: kwanjai.guru

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SOURCE Kwanjai.guru

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Smartmi Launches the New Evaporative Humidifier 3lite

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Effortless Comfort: Smartmi Evaporative Humidifier 3Lite Offers Mist-Free, Filter-Free, Smart Humidification

BEIJING, Nov. 11, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Smartmi, a global pioneer of home appliance consumption upgrade, today is thrilled to announce the launch of the Smartmi Evaporative Humidifier 3lite. This innovative humidifier is designed to enhance everyday living with its slogan, “Smart Humidification, Simple Living.” Featuring mist-free humidification, intelligent controls, and a user-friendly design, the 3Lite delivers 14 hours of quiet, efficient operation with a 4L water tank. With the smart app and voice control, easy maintenance, and no filter replacements needed, the 3Lite offers simple, cost-effective humidification for modern homes.

Prioritizing Health for a Comfortable Environment

The Smartmi Evaporative Humidifier 3lite is designed with health and well-being at its core. Mist-free humidification is ideal for sensitive individuals, and this technology ensures optimal humidity levels without the side effects of mist, creating a healthier, allergen-free environment. It allows a peaceful night’s sleep with near-silent performance, ensuring restful, uninterrupted slumber. With a 4L large water tank & a 280mL/h humidification output, the 3Lite provides up to 14 hours of continuous operation, and it is perfect for maintaining optimal humidity levels throughout the day and night.

Intelligent Features for Modern Living

The Smartmi Evaporative Humidifier 3Lite is equipped with cutting-edge technology to bring ease and convenience to everyday life. The intelligent constant humidity mode automatically adjusts the humidity from 30% to 60%, ensuring consistent comfort in any environment. Users can manage their humidifier remotely with the Mi Home app or enjoy hands-free control via smart voice assistants, like Google Assistance, Amazon Alexa, and Yandex Alice, making it easier than ever to stay comfortable.

User-Friendly Design for Maximum Convenience

Designed with the user in mind, the Smartmi 3Lite simplifies maintenance and operation. Say goodbye to costly filter replacements – simply add water and use, saving both money and time. The top-fill design allows for hassle-free refilling, while the modular design, removable evaporation disc, and water tank make cleaning a breeze. The intuitive touch interface ensures simple operation, and the water level sidebar lets you monitor water levels in real-time. With an automatic shutdown when the water runs low and when the tank is removed, Smartmi ensures safe and reliable operation.

Pricing and Availability

The Smartmi Evaporative Humidifier 3lite is the perfect companion for anyone looking to enhance their living environment with improved health and comfort. Set to launch in the CIS, Europe, and Asia Pacific in Q4 2024, it will be offered at an affordable price. This humidifier delivers smart, simple, and efficient humidity control for your home. For more information, visit www.smartmiglobal.com or follow us on social media for the latest updates.

View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/apac/news-releases/smartmi-launches-the-new-evaporative-humidifier-3lite-302299738.html

SOURCE Smartmi

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Agoda Highlights Five Must-Do Road Trips Across Asia

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SINGAPORE, Nov. 11, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Digital travel platform Agoda has unveiled a selection of five must-do road trips across Asia. The routes offer travelers a chance to explore the continent’s diverse landscapes and cultures. From Thailand’s famous and scenic Mae Hong Son loop to other captivating routes, these journeys promise unforgettable experiences for road trip enthusiasts.

Agoda’s curated list includes some of the most picturesque and culturally rich routes in Asia, each offering a unique travel experience. These road trips are perfect for those looking to discover the hidden gems of the region.

Andrew Smith, Senior Vice President, Supply at Agoda said “These road trips are perfect for those who love the open road and want to explore Asia’s diverse landscapes. Whether it’s the mountains of Thailand or the coastal roads of Vietnam, there’s so much to discover. Whichever the route, Agoda can help with great value accommodations along the way. Then all that’s left to do is to drive safe and enjoy the scenery.”

The five must-do road trips in Asia are:

Mae Hong Son Loop, Thailand
This route is renowned for its picturesque mountain views and diverse local culture. Travelers can explore charming towns and lush forests, providing a unique glimpse into the region’s heritage.

Shimanami Kaido, Japan
Connecting the islands of Honshu and Shikoku, this route features stunning views of the Seto Inland Sea. Cyclists and drivers alike can enjoy the blend of natural beauty and modern infrastructure.

Golden Triangle, India
Encompassing the cities of Delhi, Agra, and Jaipur, this road trip allows travelers to explore iconic landmarks such as the Taj Mahal and the Pink City, while experiencing the rich history and culture of the region.

Hai Van Pass, Vietnam
Known for its breathtaking coastal views, this route offers a thrilling drive through mountains and along the sea, showcasing Vietnam’s natural splendor.

Cameron Highlands, Malaysia
Providing a refreshing escape into Malaysia’s cooler climates, travelers can enjoy tea plantations, strawberry farms, and charming colonial architecture along this scenic drive.

With over 4.5 million holiday properties globally, Agoda offers great value accommodation options near any road trip route. The latest Agoda deals can be found in the Agoda app or on agoda.com/deals.

— ENDS —

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SOURCE Agoda

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