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Price analysis 3/28: BTC, ETH, XRP, BNB, SOL, DOGE, ADA, TON, LINK, AVAX

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Bitcoin (BTC) is moving farther away from the crucial $90,000 mark, indicating that buying dries up at higher levels. Market participants seem nervous about the fresh round of US trade tariffs and the renewed inflation pressure as US Personal Consumption Expenditures data came in hotter-than-expected.

Traders are divided about Bitcoin’s price trajectory in 2025. Analyzing data from the prediction markets platform Polymarket, X user Ashwin highlighted that Bitcoin’s most bearish target for 2025 is $59,040, and the most bullish is $138,617.

Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

Although the near-term remains uncertain, Real Vision chief crypto analyst Jamie Coutts remains bullish on Bitcoin. Coutts told Cointelegraph that Bitcoin could hit a new all-time high above $109,000 before the end of the second quarter. He added that a lack of clarity on the US tariffs and recession concerns are unlikely to derail the potential Bitcoin rally.

What are the important support levels to watch out for in Bitcoin and the major altcoins? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin turned down from the resistance line and broke below the 20-day exponential moving average ($85,765) on March 28.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bears will try to pull the price below the immediate support at $83,000. If they do that, the BTC/USDT pair could slide to $81,000 and later to $80,000. Buyers are expected to fiercely defend the zone between $76,606 and $80,000.

The bulls will have to push and maintain the price above the resistance line to signal that the correction may be ending. A close above the 50-day simple moving average ($89,346) could propel the pair to $95,000 and eventually to the psychological resistance at $100,000.

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) turned down from the breakdown level of $2,111 and broke below the 20-day EMA ($2,032), indicating that the bears remain in control.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Sellers will try to sink the ETH/USDT pair to the $1,800 to $1,754 support zone. Buyers are expected to vigorously defend the zone because a break below it could resume the downtrend. The next stop on the downside could be $1,550.

Buyers will have to push and sustain the price above $2,111 to signal that the bearish momentum is weakening. The 50-day SMA ($2,293) may act as a hurdle on the upside, but if taken out, the pair could rally to $2,550.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) turned down and broke below the moving averages on March 26, indicating that the bears remain sellers on every minor rise.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bears will try to sink the price to the vital support at $2. Buyers are expected to defend the level with all their might because a break below $2 will complete a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern. The XRP/USDT pair may then plunge to $1.27.

On the contrary, a strong bounce off the $2 support could keep the pair stuck inside the triangle for a while longer. The bulls will be back in the driver’s seat on a break and close above the resistance line.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) has been trading between the moving averages and the $644 resistance for the past few days.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The upsloping 20-day EMA ($618) and the RSI in the positive territory signal a slight advantage to buyers. If the price rebounds off the moving averages with strength, it improves the prospects of a break above $644. The BNB/USDT pair could then surge to $686.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price continues lower and breaks below the moving averages, it indicates that the bulls have given up. The pair may descend to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $591.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) broke below the 20-day EMA ($136) on March 28, suggesting a lack of demand from the bulls.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Sellers will try to sink the price to the $120 to $110 support zone. Buyers are expected to defend the support zone aggressively because a break and close below it could resume the downtrend toward $80.

The 50-day SMA ($153) is the critical overhead resistance to watch out for. Buyers will have to kick the price above the 50-day SMA to indicate that the SOL/USDT pair may have formed a floor at $110. The pair could then jump to $180.

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) turned down from the 50-day SMA ($0.21) on March 26, indicating that the sentiment remains negative.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The flattish 20-day EMA ($0.18) and the RSI just below the midpoint suggest a range-bound action in the near term. The DOGE/USDT pair could swing between $0.14 and the 50-day SMA for some time.

If the price turns up from the current level and breaks above the 50-day SMA, it will signal that the bulls are trying to form a higher low. That increases the possibility of a break above the 50-day SMA. The pair may ascend to $0.24 and later to $0.29.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano’s (ADA) failure to sustain above the 50-day SMA ($0.75) may have attracted profit booking by short-term buyers.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The ADA/USDT pair could slip to the uptrend line, where the buyers are expected to step in. If the price rebounds off the uptrend line, the bulls will again attempt to drive the pair above the 50-day SMA. If they succeed, the pair may rise to $0.84 and then to $1.02.

Contrarily, a break and close below the uptrend line suggests that the bears have overpowered the bulls. The pair may drop to the $0.58 to $0.50 support zone, which is likely to attract buyers.

Related: XRP price may drop another 40% as Trump tariffs spook risk traders

Toncoin price analysis

Toncoin (TON) turned up from the 20-day EMA ($3.54) on March 26 and reached the overhead resistance of $4.14 on March 27.

TON/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The upsloping 20-day EMA and the RSI in the positive territory indicate advantage to buyers. If the price turns up from the current level or the 20-day EMA, it increases the likelihood of a break above $4.14. That opens the doors for a rise to $5.

This positive view will be invalidated in the near term if the price breaks below the moving averages. There is minor support at $3.32, but if the level cracks, the TON/USDT pair could slide to $2.81.

Chainlink price analysis

Chainlink (LINK) turned down from the 50-day SMA ($15.96) on March 28 and broke below the 20-day EMA ($14.76), indicating that bears are selling on rallies.

LINK/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the price sustains below the 20-day EMA, the bears will try to strengthen their position by pulling the LINK/USDT pair toward the support line. A break and close below the support line could sink the pair to $10.

Buyers are likely to have other plans. They will try to quickly arrest the decline and push the price above the 50-day SMA. If they manage to do that, the pair could climb to $17.70 and subsequently to the resistance line.

Avalanche price analysis

Avalanche (AVAX) failed to sustain above the 50-day SMA ($21.93), signaling that the bears are active at higher levels.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($20.51) is the critical support to watch out for. If the price closes below the 20-day EMA, the AVAX/USDT pair could skid to $18. Buyers are expected to defend the $18 level, but if the bears prevail, the pair could retest the critical support at $15.27.

The first sign of strength will be a break and close above the 50-day SMA. That suggests solid buying at lower levels. The pair may then attempt a rally to the $25.12 to $27.23 overhead resistance zone.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Privacy Pools launch on Ethereum, with Vitalik demoing the feature

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A new semi-permissionless privacy tool, Privacy Pools, has launched on Ethereum, allowing users to transact privately while proving their funds aren’t linked to illicit activities.

The privacy tool, launched by Ethereum builders 0xbow.io on March 31, earned support from the likes of Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin, who not only backed the privacy project but made one of the first deposits on the platform. 

0xbow.io said that it implements “Association Sets” to batch transactions into the anonymous Privacy Pools and that a screening test is conducted to ensure that those transactions aren’t linked to illicit actors, such as hackers, phishers and scammers.

gm Ethereum ☀️

It is our great honor to announce the mainnet launch of Privacy Pools!

ETH users can now achieve on-chain privacy, while still dissociating from illicit funds

It is now up to all of us to Make Privacy Normal Again 🫡

More info in this thread 👇 pic.twitter.com/3nJO0AxoD1

— 0xbow.io (@0xbowio) March 31, 2025

The Association Sets are “dynamic” — meaning that if a transaction is admitted but later found to be illicit, it can be removed from the set without disrupting any other deposits, 0xbow.io said.

If a deposit is disqualified, the user can click the “ragequit” function to return the funds to their original deposit address.

The innovation is part of 0xbow.io’s vision to “Make Privacy Normal Again” while also attempting to achieve regulatory compliance.  

Privacy protocols have received considerable backlash from regulators in recent years due to their increasing use by illicit actors to launder funds. 

One of those privacy tools, Tornado Cash, was sanctioned by the US Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) between August 2022 and March 2025 after it was linked to around $7 billion laundered by the North Korean state-backed Lazarus Group.

Tornado Cash has since been removed from OFAC’s blacklist after a US appeals court said the sanctions were unlawful in January 2025.

0xbow.io noted that initial deposits are limited to 1 Ether (ETH) but that the limit would be raised once the privacy protocol is more battle-tested.

Privacy Pools inspired by Buterin and others

Over 21 ETH has already been transferred into Privacy Pools from 69 deposits, including at least one from Buterin, 0xbow.io noted.

Source: Vitalik Buterin

In addition to Buterin, 0xbow.io said it also received investment support from Number Group, BanklessVC, Public Works and several angel investors.

Related: Privacy isn’t a luxury in crypto, it’s a necessity — Midnight CEO

0xbow.io also praised Buterin, Chainalysis Chief Scientist Jacob Illum, and two academics at the University of Basel in Switzerland for crafting a September 2023 white paper outlining how Privacy Pools could be built. 

0xbow.io strategic adviser Ameen Soleimani also contributed to the paper, which has seen over 12,000 downloads and has been cited in nine other papers.

The Privacy Pool code also passed a successful audit from Audit Wizard. a smart contract auditing firm co-founded by former Apple engineer Joe van Loon.

More than $41 billion worth of illicit transfers were made in 2024,  which made up 0.14% of total onchain volume for the year, according to the Chainalysis 2025 Crypto Crime report published on Jan. 15.

While it marked around an 11% fall from 2023, Chainalysis said that figure could climb to around $51 billion as more criminal-tied addresses are found.

Magazine: What are native rollups? Full guide to Ethereum’s latest innovation

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Hyperliquid DEX trading volumes cut into CEX market share: Data

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Hyperliquid is one of the current bull market’s standout DeFi success stories. With daily trading volumes having reached $4 billion, the exchange has become the largest decentralized (DEX) derivatives platform, commanding nearly 60% of the market.

Hyperliquid still lags far behind Binance Futures’ $50 billion daily average volume, but the trend suggests that it has started to encroach on centralized exchange (CEX) territory.

What’s behind Hyperliquid’s parabolic rise?

Launched in 2023, Hyperliquid gained popularity in April 2024 after launching spot trading. This, combined with its aggressive listing strategy and easy-to-use onchain user interface, helped to lure in a wave of new users.

The platform’s real explosion, however, came in November 2024, following the launch of its HYPE (HYPE) token. Hyperliquid’s trading volume skyrocketed, and it now boasts over 400,000 users and more than 50 billion trades processed, according to data from Dune.

Hyperliquid cumulative trades and users. Source: Dune

While Hyperliquid started as a high-performance perpetual futures and spot DEX, its ambitions have since expanded. With the launch of HyperEVM on Feb. 18, the project has become a general-purpose layer-1 chain capable of supporting third-party DeFi apps built on top of its infrastructure. 

As one of Hyperliquid’s founders, Jeff Yan, put it, 

“Most L1s build infrastructure and hope that others will come build the killer apps. Hyperliquid takes the opposite approach: polish a native application and then grow into general-purpose infrastructure.”

If this approach works, the liquidity driven by Hyperliquid’s core DEX could naturally feed into the broader ecosystem and vice versa, creating a flywheel effect.

Related: Hyperliquid flips Solana in fees, but is the ‘HYPE’ justified?

Will Hyperliquid become a sustainable CEX alternative?

According to CoinGecko, Hyperliquid now ranks 14th among derivatives exchanges by open interest, sitting at $3.1 billion. That’s still behind Binance’s $22 billion but ahead of older names like Deribit or derivatives divisions of Crypto.com, BitMEX, or KuCoin. It’s the first time a DEX is competing so closely with established CEXs.

Furthermore, as Hyperliquid deepens its focus on specialized trading pairs, it continues to chip away at the market share of major exchanges. The DEX accepts not only Arbitrum USDC as collateral but also native BTC. This makes it one of the few decentralized platforms that handle BTC wrapping and unwrapping natively, giving users the option to use BTC for Web3-wallet-based trading.

X user Skewga.hl noted that Hyperliquid’s BTC perpetual futures volume share recently hit an all-time high, reaching almost 50% of Bybit’s and 21% of Binance’s. Skewga.hl wrote,

“No DEX has ever come this close to matching Tier 1 CEX volume.” 

Daily volume ratios, Hyperliquid vs Other exchanges (BTC perp). Source: Skewga.hl

Since 2024, perpetual swaps have seen a revival as a trading tool. During the 2021–2022 bull market, daily perps volume averaged around $5 billion. In early 2025, that number often exceeded $15 billion, with Hyperliquid accounting for nearly two-thirds of it.

Data from DefiLlama illustrates the shift: while dYdX (green) dominated in 2023–2024, the landscape diversified significantly in 2024—and by 2025, Hyperliquid (pink) had taken the lead.

Perps volume breakdown. Source: DefiLlama

Despite the recent JELLY token scandal, which involved the exchange halting trading and delisting a low-market-cap token that a whale had exploited, Hyperliquid remains a popular exchange among DeFi and DEX traders. It has yet to capture institutional investor flows or scale to the level of top-tier CEXs. However, if its layer 1 ecosystem gains traction with developers, Hyperliquid could evolve into more than just a leading DEX.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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North Korean crypto attacks rising in sophistication, actors — Paradigm

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North Korean cyberwarfare attacks on the cryptocurrency industry are growing in sophistication and in the number of groups involved in such criminal activity, crypto firm Paradigm warns in report titled “Demystifying the North Korean Threat.”

North Korea-originated cyberattacks range from assaults on exchanges and social engineering attempts to phishing attacks and complex supply chain hijacks, the report says. In some cases, the attacks take a year to play out, with North Korean operatives biding their time.

The United Nations estimates that between 2017 and 2023, North Korean hackers have netted the country $3 billion. The total haul has skyrocketed in 2024 and this year, with successful attacks against crypto exchanges WazirX and Bybit, which together netted attackers around $1.7 billion.

Paradigm writes that the North Korean organizations orchestrating these attacks number at least five: Lazarus Group, Spinout, AppleJeus, Dangerous Password, and TraitorTrader. There is also a coalition of North Korean operatives who pose as IT workers, infiltrating tech companies around the world.

Related: Typosquatting in crypto, explained: How hackers exploit small mistakes

High-profile attacks and predictable laundering methods

Lazarus Group, the most well-known North Korean hacking team, is given credit for some of the most high-profile cyberattacks since 2016. According to Paradigm, the group hacked Sony and the Bank of Bangladesh in 2016 and helped orchestrate the WannaCry 2.0 ransomware attack in 2017.

It has also taken aim at the cryptocurrency industry, sometimes to great effect. In 2017, the group hit two crypto exchanges — Youbit and Bithumb. In 2022, Lazarus Group exploited the Ronin Bridge, resulting in hundreds of millions in lost assets. And in 2025, it infamously stole $1.5 billion from Bybit, sending shock throughout the crypto community. The group may be behind some Solana memecoin scams.

As Chainalysis and other organizations have explained, Lazarus Group also has predictable money laundering methods after securing a haul. It breaks up the stolen amount into smaller and smaller pieces, sending them to countless other wallets. It then swaps the more illiquid coins for those with higher liquidity and converts much of it to Bitcoin (BTC). After that, the group may sit on the stolen money for a long period of time until the attention from law enforcement dies down.

The FBI has so far identified three alleged members of the Lazarus Group, accusing them of cybercrimes. In February 2021, the US Justice Department indicted two of those members for involvement in global cybercrimes. 

Magazine: Lazarus Group’s favorite exploit revealed — Crypto hacks analysis

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