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From ICO hype to AI utility: The evolution of crypto agents in Web3

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The rise of AI-driven crypto agents is following a familiar trajectory that mirrors the initial boom, bust and resurgence of ICO-era projects. Just as early blockchain ventures thrived on hype before maturing into sustainable ecosystems, the current wave of AI agent projects is undergoing rapid market shifts. 

A new report by HTX Ventures and HTX Research says that investors are growing cautious as competition in the sector intensifies, liquidity disperses and many projects struggle to define clear use cases. Still, as the sector moves beyond its speculative phase, AI-driven crypto agents are expected to evolve sustainable business models underpinned by genuine utility.

To dive deeper into the evolution of crypto agents and the future of AI-driven blockchain innovation, download the full report by HTX here.

From meme hype to reality: The evolution of crypto agents

The initial wave of crypto agent projects in 2024 was driven by indiscriminate enthusiasm for AI projects. Following the impact of a $50,000 Bitcoin donation from Marc Andreessen in October 2024 and the success of token launchpads earlier in the year, many AI agent projects entered the space in Q1 of 2024 and rapidly diluted liquidity by Q1 of 2025. As with any emerging sector, early-stage hype did not always translate into long-term viability, and a cooling-off period in the crypto AI agent sector followed.

The market segment is now entering a more mature phase, and the focus is shifting from speculative excitement to revenue generation and product performance. The winners in this evolving landscape will be those that can generate stable revenue, cover the costs of running AI models and provide tangible value to users and investors alike.

AI agent applications emphasize real-world implementation and commercialization of this technology, particularly in areas like automated trading, asset management, market analysis and crosschain interaction. This approach aligns with multi-agent systems and DeFAI (decentralized finance + AI) initiatives like Hey Anon, GRIFFAIN and ChainGPT.

Recent research highlights the advantages of multi-agent systems (MAS) in portfolio management, particularly in cryptocurrency investments. Projects such as Griffain, NEUR, and BUZZ have already demonstrated how AI can help users interact with DeFi protocols and make informed decisions. Unlike single-agent AI models, multi-agent systems leverage collaboration among specialized agents to enhance market analysis and execution. These agents function in teams, such as data analysts, risk evaluators and trading execution units, each trained to handle specific tasks. 

MAS frameworks also introduce inter-agent communication mechanisms, where agents within the same team refine predictions through collective learning, reducing errors in market trend analysis. The next phase of DeFAI will likely involve deeper integration of decentralized governance models, where multi-agent systems participate in protocol management, treasury optimization and onchain compliance enforcement.

To dive deeper into the evolution of crypto agents and the future of AI-driven blockchain innovation, download the full report by HTX here.

DeepSeek-R1: A breakthrough in AI agent training

A breakthrough in AI agent technology arrived with DeepSeek-R1, an innovation that challenges traditional AI training methods. Unlike previous models, which relied on supervised fine-tuning (SFT) followed by reinforcement learning (RL), DeepSeek-R1 takes a different approach, optimizing entirely through reinforcement learning without an initial supervised phase. This shift has led to remarkable improvements in reasoning capabilities and adaptability, paving the way for more sophisticated AI-driven crypto agents.

To understand this paradigm shift, consider two different approaches to learning. In the Traditional SFT and RL model, a student first studies from a workbook, practicing problems with set answers (SFT), and then receives tutoring to refine their understanding (RL). In contrast, with the DeepSeek-R1 Model (Pure Reinforcement Learning), the student is thrown directly into an exam and learns through trial and error. This approach allows the student to improve dynamically based on feedback rather than relying on pre-defined answers.

Leveraging DeepSeek-R1’s pure RL model, AI agents learn through trial and error in real-world conditions, dynamically adjusting their strategies based on immediate feedback.

This method allows for greater adaptability, making it particularly useful for multi-agent AI systems in DeFi, where real-time market fluctuations require agents to make autonomous, data-driven decisions​. For example, AI-powered agents can monitor liquidity pools, detect arbitrage opportunities and optimize asset allocations based on real-time market conditions. These agents adapt quickly to market fluctuations, ensuring more efficient capital deployment.

Launched in late November 2024, iDEGEN is the first crypto AI agent built on DeepSeek R1. This integration of DeepSeek’s R1 model emphasizes how crypto AI agents can inherit such enhanced reasoning capabilities, competing with other established AI models at a fraction of the cost.  

This shift toward RL-powered, multi-agent AI in DeFi automation underscores why closed-source AI models (such as OpenAI’s GPT-based systems) are becoming an unsustainable expense. With workflows often requiring the processing of 10,000+ tokens per transaction, closed AI models impose significant computational costs, limiting scalability. In contrast, open-source RL models like DeepSeek-R1 allow for decentralized, cost-efficient AI development tailored for DeFi applications​.

The future of AI agents in Web3

The key to longevity in this sector lies in continuous innovation, adaptability and cost efficiency. Open-source AI models like DeepSeek-R1 are lowering the barriers to entry, allowing blockchain-native startups to develop specialized AI solutions. Meanwhile, advancements in DeFAI and multi-agent systems will drive long-term integration between AI and decentralized finance. 

The takeaway is clear: Projects must prove their value beyond hype. Those who develop sustainable economic models and leverage cutting-edge AI advancements will define the future of intelligent blockchain ecosystems. The ICO era of crypto agents is evolving, and the next wave of winners will be the ones that can turn innovation into long-term viability.

To dive deeper into the evolution of crypto agents and the future of AI-driven blockchain innovation, download the full report by HTX here.

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This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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Coin Market

Greedy L2s are the reason ETH is a 'completely dead' investment: VC

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Ether’s (ETH) declining appeal as an investment comes from layer-2’s draining value from the main network and a lack of community pushback on excessive token creation, a crypto venture capitalist says.

“The #1 cause of this is greedy Eth L2s siphoning value from the L1 and the social consensus that excess token creation was A-OK,” Castle Island Ventures partner Nic Carter said in a March 28 X post.

Ether “died by its own hand”

“ETH was buried in an avalanche of its own tokens. Died by its own hand,” Carter said. He said this in response to Lekker Capital founder Quinn Thompson’s claim that Ether is “completely dead” as an investment.

Source: Quinn Thompson

“A $225 billion market cap network that is seeing declines in transaction activity, user growth and fees/revenues. There is no investment case here. As a network with utility? Yes. As an investment? Absolutely not,” Thompson said in a March 28 X post. 

The ETH/BTC ratio — which shows Ether’s relative strength compared to Bitcoin (BTC) — is sitting at 0.02260, its lowest level in nearly five years, according to TradingView data. 

At the time of publication, Ether is trading at $1,894, down 5.34% over the past seven days, according to CoinMarketCap data.

Ether is down 17.94% over the past 30 days. Source: CoinMarketCap

Meanwhile, Cointelegraph Magazine reported in September 2024 that fee revenue for Ethereum had “collapsed” by 99% over the previous six months as “extractive L2s” absorbed all the users, transactions and fee revenue while contributing nothing to the base layer. 

Around the same time, Cinneamhain Ventures partner Adam Cochran said Based Rollups could solve the issue of Ethereum’s layer-2 networks pulling liquidity and revenue from the blockchain’s base layer.

Cochran said Based Rollups could “directly impact the monetization of Ethereum by making a pretty fundamental change to incentive structures.”

Related: Ethereum futures premium hits 1+ year low — Is it time to buy the ETH bottom?

Despite optimism toward the end of last year about Ether reaching $10,000 in 2025 — especially after reaching $4,000 in December, the same month Bitcoin touched $100,000 for the first time — it has since seen a sharp decline alongside the broader crypto market downturn.

Standard Chartered added to the bearish outlook via a March 17 client letter, which revised down their end of 2025 ETH price estimate from $10,000 to $4,000, a 60% reduction. 

However, several crypto traders, including pseudonymous traders Doctor Profit and Merlijn The Trader, are “insanely bullish” and argue that Ether could be the “best opportunity in the market.”

Source: Merlijn The Trader

Magazine: Arbitrum co-founder skeptical of move to based and native rollups: Steven Goldfeder

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Elon Musk’s sale of X to xAI just made fraud lawsuit a ‘lot spicer’

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Billionaire investor Elon Musk has sold his social media platform X to his AI startup xAI in an all-stock deal, sparking controversy as it coincides with a US judge rejecting his bid to dismiss a lawsuit tied to the social media platform.

The transfer of ownership of X to xAI on March 28 means that the class-action lawsuit against Musk — accusing him of defrauding former Twitter shareholders by delaying the disclosure of his initial investment in the social media platform — has become “a whole lot spicer,” Cinneamhain Ventures partner Adam Cochran said in a March 28 X post.

Acquisition may open up xAI to more ‘exposure’

On the same day that Musk said “xAI has acquired X in an all-stock transaction,” a US judge reportedly rejected Musk’s attempt to dismiss the lawsuit. Cochran said it has “opened up his AI entity to exposure here too, and it’s a much bigger pie.”

Source: Grok

Musk said the deal values xAI at $80 billion and X at $33 billion, factoring in $12 billion in debt from the $45 billion valuation. He originally bought X, formerly Twitter, for around $44 billion in April 2022.

“xAI and X’s futures are intertwined. Today, we officially take the step to combine the data, models, compute, distribution and talent,” Musk said.

Source: Bryan Rosenblatt

“This combination will unlock immense potential by blending xAI’s advanced AI capability and expertise with X’s massive reach,” he said, adding:

“This will allow us to build a platform that doesn’t just reflect the world but actively accelerates human progress.”

However, Cochran claimed that “Musk used his pumped up xAI stock to pay multiple times over value for X, but still take an $11B loss on the transaction.” He said that Musk is “screwing over xAI investors, and X investors” and was executed to sell user data to xAI.

Related: Elon Musk’s ‘government efficiency’ team turns its sights to SEC — Report

xAI is best known for its AI chatbot “Grok” which is built into the X platform. When Musk released it in November 2023, he claimed it could outperform OpenAI’s first iteration of ChatGPT in several academic tests.

Source: Raoul Pal

Musk explained at the time that the motivation behind building Grok is to create AI tools equipped to assist humanity by empowering research and innovation.

While Cochran said that Grok being valued at $80 billion is an “insanely dumb valuation,” crypto developer “Keef” disagrees. Keef said, “This is shady all around, but given the day, Grok is genuinely probably the top model for various tasks.”

Magazine: Arbitrum co-founder skeptical of move to based and native rollups: Steven Goldfeder

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Zhao pledges BNB for Thailand, Myanmar disaster relief

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Binance co-founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao is donating 500 BNB (BNB) each to Thailand and Myanmar following a 7.7 magnitude earthquake that caused severe damage to buildings and widespread flooding.

Zhao plans to distribute the funds through Binance and Binance Thailand if a third-party onchain donation platform cannot be found to distribute the disaster relief funds.

“I hope everyone is safe in Thailand,” the Binance founder wrote in a March 28 X post before announcing the contributions to both countries affected by the earthquake.

According to The Guardian, at least 144 people are confirmed to have died as a result of the catastrophic earthquake as first responders in both countries continue rescue efforts to free people trapped under rubble.

Source: CZ

Related: Thailand regulator approves USDT, USDC stablecoins

Disaster strikes Myanmar and Thailand

The earthquake struck on March 28 at approximately 1:20 PM local time. The epicenter of the earthquake was approximately 10 miles from Mandalay — the second-largest city in Myanmar.

The death toll in both countries is expected to rise as relief efforts continue, with 732 individuals reportedly injured as a result of the earthquake.

Myanmar’s junta chief Min Aung Hlaing has called upon any country willing to help with the disaster relief efforts to provide any aid it can.

Crypto donations amplify aid during times of crisis

The cross-border efficiencies, low transaction costs, and near-instant settlement times of cryptocurrencies make digital assets an ideal medium for disaster relief funds.

Following a 7.8 magnitude earthquake that impacted Turkey and Syria in February 2023, philanthropist Haluk Levent began collecting crypto disaster relief donations.

The Giving Block, a company that works with nonprofit organizations to facilitate crypto donations, also used crypto to raise funds for the victims of the Maui wildfires in 2023 and managed to give over $1 million to the relief effort.

More recently, in January, The Giving Block started an emergency relief fundraiser for those impacted by the California wildfires in Los Angeles and the surrounding areas.

At the time of this writing, the organization has raised over $1 million for the California wildfire relief fund.

Magazine: Crypto is changing how humanitarian agencies deliver aid and services

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