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Bitcoin price pumps, but will BTC break $92K anytime soon?

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Bitcoin (BTC) price surged by 3% on March 24, distancing from its $76,900 low on March 11 despite failing to sustain the $88,000 level. Now, traders are wondering what factors could drive Bitcoin’s daily close above $92,000, which last occurred on March 3. Adding to cryptocurrency investors’ frustration, gold is trading just 1% below its record high of $3,057, while Bitcoin price trades 19% away from its all-time high.

S&P 500 futures (left) vs. Bitcoin/USD (right). Source: TradingView / Cointelegraph

Some analysts attribute Bitcoin’s recent price gains to the US-listed company Strategy increasing its BTC reserves, while others highlight macroeconomic factors, such as easing inflation expectations and a softer stance from US President Donald Trump on tariffs. Despite this constructive backdrop, traders question what is preventing Bitcoin from maintaining its bullish momentum.

Bitcoin’s upside is limited as investors fear an economic recession

Economists expect signs of a slowdown in the “core” Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which is projected to rise by 2.7% in February, according to Yahoo News. This data, the US Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation metric, is set to be released on March 26.

Implied expectations for the Sept. 17 FOMC. Source: CME FedWatch tool / Cointelegraph

If confirmed, the softer inflationary trend would support Federal Reserve Chair Powell’s remarks on transitory inflation and increase the likelihood of two interest rate cuts in 2025, as reflected in the Treasury futures market.

As the US central bank shifts to a less restrictive monetary policy, risk markets typically benefit from increased liquidity and reduced fixed-income appeal. However, uncertainty remains regarding economic growth.

Investors are increasingly worried about recession risks due to excessive valuations in artificial intelligence stocks and concerns that US federal spending cuts could negatively impact consumers and the commercial real estate market. While these issues have little direct connection to Bitcoin, traders fear that all risk markets could suffer if the threat of stagflation emerges.

The Wall Street Journal reported that President Trump is considering scaling back some tariffs initially planned for April 2. Although unconfirmed, the news suggests Trump may exclude certain industry-specific duties and grant exemptions to some nations. On March 24, S&P 500 futures rose 1.5% as investors perceived lower economic contraction risks, potentially supporting Bitcoin’s price gains.

Strategy buys more Bitcoin, but is their tactic sustainable?

On March 24, Strategy announced the acquisition of an additional $584 million in Bitcoin, increasing its holdings to 506,137 BTC. The funds for this latest purchase came from the sale of 1.97 million common stock shares, along with the broader $21 billion STRK perpetual preferred stock issuance program. These expanded fundraising options have improved the company’s chances of reaching its ambitious $42 billion Bitcoin acquisition target.

While this news appears positive for Bitcoin’s price in the short term, if the US Federal Reserve implements expansionist measures, corporate earnings will likely accelerate, making stocks relatively cheaper. Likewise, a reduced risk of a full-scale global tariff war benefits the stock market and lowers risks in the artificial intelligence and commercial real estate sectors.

Related: Bitcoin ‘more likely’ to hit $110K before $76.5K — Arthur Hayes

Source: DexyyDx

Critics argue that Strategy has been the primary factor supporting Bitcoin’s $80,000 level, posing a risk of price corrections if the company fails to raise additional funds or pauses its stock issuance program for any reason. However, this view overlooks the fact that Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw $786 million in net inflows between March 14 and March 21.

In essence, Bitcoin is well-positioned to recapture the $92,000 level, although it remains heavily dependent on overall macroeconomic conditions. Regardless of gold’s performance, investors view Bitcoin as a risk-on asset, favoring a higher correlation with the stock market, at least in the short term.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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Coin Market

Greedy L2s are the reason ETH is a 'completely dead' investment: VC

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Ether’s (ETH) declining appeal as an investment comes from layer-2’s draining value from the main network and a lack of community pushback on excessive token creation, a crypto venture capitalist says.

“The #1 cause of this is greedy Eth L2s siphoning value from the L1 and the social consensus that excess token creation was A-OK,” Castle Island Ventures partner Nic Carter said in a March 28 X post.

Ether “died by its own hand”

“ETH was buried in an avalanche of its own tokens. Died by its own hand,” Carter said. He said this in response to Lekker Capital founder Quinn Thompson’s claim that Ether is “completely dead” as an investment.

Source: Quinn Thompson

“A $225 billion market cap network that is seeing declines in transaction activity, user growth and fees/revenues. There is no investment case here. As a network with utility? Yes. As an investment? Absolutely not,” Thompson said in a March 28 X post. 

The ETH/BTC ratio — which shows Ether’s relative strength compared to Bitcoin (BTC) — is sitting at 0.02260, its lowest level in nearly five years, according to TradingView data. 

At the time of publication, Ether is trading at $1,894, down 5.34% over the past seven days, according to CoinMarketCap data.

Ether is down 17.94% over the past 30 days. Source: CoinMarketCap

Meanwhile, Cointelegraph Magazine reported in September 2024 that fee revenue for Ethereum had “collapsed” by 99% over the previous six months as “extractive L2s” absorbed all the users, transactions and fee revenue while contributing nothing to the base layer. 

Around the same time, Cinneamhain Ventures partner Adam Cochran said Based Rollups could solve the issue of Ethereum’s layer-2 networks pulling liquidity and revenue from the blockchain’s base layer.

Cochran said Based Rollups could “directly impact the monetization of Ethereum by making a pretty fundamental change to incentive structures.”

Related: Ethereum futures premium hits 1+ year low — Is it time to buy the ETH bottom?

Despite optimism toward the end of last year about Ether reaching $10,000 in 2025 — especially after reaching $4,000 in December, the same month Bitcoin touched $100,000 for the first time — it has since seen a sharp decline alongside the broader crypto market downturn.

Standard Chartered added to the bearish outlook via a March 17 client letter, which revised down their end of 2025 ETH price estimate from $10,000 to $4,000, a 60% reduction. 

However, several crypto traders, including pseudonymous traders Doctor Profit and Merlijn The Trader, are “insanely bullish” and argue that Ether could be the “best opportunity in the market.”

Source: Merlijn The Trader

Magazine: Arbitrum co-founder skeptical of move to based and native rollups: Steven Goldfeder

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Coin Market

Elon Musk’s sale of X to xAI just made fraud lawsuit a ‘lot spicer’

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Billionaire investor Elon Musk has sold his social media platform X to his AI startup xAI in an all-stock deal, sparking controversy as it coincides with a US judge rejecting his bid to dismiss a lawsuit tied to the social media platform.

The transfer of ownership of X to xAI on March 28 means that the class-action lawsuit against Musk — accusing him of defrauding former Twitter shareholders by delaying the disclosure of his initial investment in the social media platform — has become “a whole lot spicer,” Cinneamhain Ventures partner Adam Cochran said in a March 28 X post.

Acquisition may open up xAI to more ‘exposure’

On the same day that Musk said “xAI has acquired X in an all-stock transaction,” a US judge reportedly rejected Musk’s attempt to dismiss the lawsuit. Cochran said it has “opened up his AI entity to exposure here too, and it’s a much bigger pie.”

Source: Grok

Musk said the deal values xAI at $80 billion and X at $33 billion, factoring in $12 billion in debt from the $45 billion valuation. He originally bought X, formerly Twitter, for around $44 billion in April 2022.

“xAI and X’s futures are intertwined. Today, we officially take the step to combine the data, models, compute, distribution and talent,” Musk said.

Source: Bryan Rosenblatt

“This combination will unlock immense potential by blending xAI’s advanced AI capability and expertise with X’s massive reach,” he said, adding:

“This will allow us to build a platform that doesn’t just reflect the world but actively accelerates human progress.”

However, Cochran claimed that “Musk used his pumped up xAI stock to pay multiple times over value for X, but still take an $11B loss on the transaction.” He said that Musk is “screwing over xAI investors, and X investors” and was executed to sell user data to xAI.

Related: Elon Musk’s ‘government efficiency’ team turns its sights to SEC — Report

xAI is best known for its AI chatbot “Grok” which is built into the X platform. When Musk released it in November 2023, he claimed it could outperform OpenAI’s first iteration of ChatGPT in several academic tests.

Source: Raoul Pal

Musk explained at the time that the motivation behind building Grok is to create AI tools equipped to assist humanity by empowering research and innovation.

While Cochran said that Grok being valued at $80 billion is an “insanely dumb valuation,” crypto developer “Keef” disagrees. Keef said, “This is shady all around, but given the day, Grok is genuinely probably the top model for various tasks.”

Magazine: Arbitrum co-founder skeptical of move to based and native rollups: Steven Goldfeder

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Zhao pledges BNB for Thailand, Myanmar disaster relief

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Binance co-founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao is donating 500 BNB (BNB) each to Thailand and Myanmar following a 7.7 magnitude earthquake that caused severe damage to buildings and widespread flooding.

Zhao plans to distribute the funds through Binance and Binance Thailand if a third-party onchain donation platform cannot be found to distribute the disaster relief funds.

“I hope everyone is safe in Thailand,” the Binance founder wrote in a March 28 X post before announcing the contributions to both countries affected by the earthquake.

According to The Guardian, at least 144 people are confirmed to have died as a result of the catastrophic earthquake as first responders in both countries continue rescue efforts to free people trapped under rubble.

Source: CZ

Related: Thailand regulator approves USDT, USDC stablecoins

Disaster strikes Myanmar and Thailand

The earthquake struck on March 28 at approximately 1:20 PM local time. The epicenter of the earthquake was approximately 10 miles from Mandalay — the second-largest city in Myanmar.

The death toll in both countries is expected to rise as relief efforts continue, with 732 individuals reportedly injured as a result of the earthquake.

Myanmar’s junta chief Min Aung Hlaing has called upon any country willing to help with the disaster relief efforts to provide any aid it can.

Crypto donations amplify aid during times of crisis

The cross-border efficiencies, low transaction costs, and near-instant settlement times of cryptocurrencies make digital assets an ideal medium for disaster relief funds.

Following a 7.8 magnitude earthquake that impacted Turkey and Syria in February 2023, philanthropist Haluk Levent began collecting crypto disaster relief donations.

The Giving Block, a company that works with nonprofit organizations to facilitate crypto donations, also used crypto to raise funds for the victims of the Maui wildfires in 2023 and managed to give over $1 million to the relief effort.

More recently, in January, The Giving Block started an emergency relief fundraiser for those impacted by the California wildfires in Los Angeles and the surrounding areas.

At the time of this writing, the organization has raised over $1 million for the California wildfire relief fund.

Magazine: Crypto is changing how humanitarian agencies deliver aid and services

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