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Nvidia's stock price forms 'death cross' — Will AI crypto tokens follow?

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Chip-making giant Nvidia’s (NVDA) stock is flashing a major bearish signal — the last time this pattern appeared, it retraced nearly 50%. This may raise questions for the AI crypto sector, which has, at times, seemed to react to Nvidia’s price.

“NVDA just formed a Death Cross for the first time since April 2022. The last one sent shares plunging 47% over the next 6 months,” markets data platform Barchart said in a March 23 X post. A death cross is a bearish signal that occurs when the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of an asset’s market price falls below the 200-day SMA.

Source: Barchart

While Nvidia’s stock price formed the bearish signal before the trading week closed on March 21, several crypto AI tokens have risen since then. Render (RENDER) is up 4.06%, while Bittensor (TAO) and Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) are both up around 2.88%, according to CoinMarketCap data. 

Nvidia has been a closely watched stock for AI crypto traders in recent times. While some crypto analysts have linked AI crypto token surges to NVDA’s performance — like its nearly 70% rally ahead of Nvidia’s Q2 earnings in 2024 — there have also been times when no clear correlation emerged. 

After Nvidia’s Q1 2024 revenue jumped 18% from Q4 2023, some AI token traders seemed disappointed that the strong results didn’t lead to a similar move in AI crypto token prices.

Nvidia’s stock price is down 9.66% over the past month. Source: Google Finance

Some crypto traders recently suggested that the bubble has burst and that only AI tokens with real utility will thrive. Crypto trader CryptoCosta said in a March 22 X post, “The whole AI hype has already died down, now it’s time for those who provide market solutions and have revenue.”

Over the past month alone, the market capitalization of the top AI and big data crypto tokens has fallen 23.70%.

The largest token in this sector by market cap, Near Protocol (NEAR), has retraced almost 59% over the past 12 months, now trading at $2.70.

NEAR is trading at $2.70 at the time of publication. Source: CoinMarketCap

However, in a recent survey, nearly half of crypto pundits said they are bullish over crypto AI tokens prices.

Of the 2,632 respondents surveyed by CoinGecko between February and March, 25% were “fully bullish,” and 19.3% indicated they were “somewhat bullish” for crypto AI tokens in 2025. 

Related: AI and crypto drive criminal efficiency: Europol

Around 29% of respondents were neutral on the subject, while a combined 26.3% were either somewhat bearish or bearish. 

Meanwhile, former Binance CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao recently said, “While crypto is the currency for AI, not every agent needs its own token.”

“Agents can take fees in an existing crypto for providing a service. Launch a coin only if you have scale. Focus on utility, not tokens,” he said.

In February, Sygnum said in an investment report, while AI agents have gained “remarkable traction” so far, they have “struggled to prove their worth beyond speculation.”

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Crusoe to sell Bitcoin mining business to NYDIG to focus on AI

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Crusoe Energy, a company that captures waste gas from oil to power high-performance compute, is selling its Bitcoin mining business to New York Digital Investment Group (NYDIG) to focus on artificial intelligence. 

In a March 25 announcement, Crusoe said it plans to sell its Bitcoin (BTC) mining operation,  including its digital flare mitigation business, to NYDIG, subject to regulatory approvals and other consents. 

The deal includes Crusoe’s 270 megawatts of power generation technology from more than 425 modular data centers across the United States and Argentina, along with 135 Crusoe employees who will join NYDIG, as no roles will be eliminated as a result of the transaction. 

Crusoe was founded in 2018 and pioneered technology that captures waste gas created during oil extraction and refinement that would be normally burned off in a process called gas flaring in order to power Bitcoin miners.

Photo of gas flaring in action. Source: Crusoe Energy

It converts the gas or “stranded energy” into electricity used to power the high-performance compute required for Bitcoin mining and AI data centers. Some reports suggest that Crusoe’s Bitcoin mining operation accounts for 1% of the world’s Bitcoin mining. 

Crusoe’s AI expansion plans

However, Crusoe says it now wants to focus its tech on building out AI infrastructure. 

“The AI business — it’s become the majority of our revenue,” Cully Cavness, the co-founder, president and chief operating officer of Crusoe, told CNBC. 

The company recently expanded its AI data center in Abilene, Texas, to 1.2 gigawatts around the same time it announced a joint venture with investment firm Engine No. 1 to develop large-scale data center campuses across the US to build out AI capabilities.

Source: Matthew Sigel

Last year in December, it closed $600 million in a Series D round at a $2.8 billion valuation to power AI. 

“We see a huge opportunity in front of us, and we have a big advantage and a big head start with what we’ve already announced — and more coming soon,” added Cavness. 

Related: Tokenized US gold could ultimately benefit Bitcoin: NYDIG

NYDIG said that the acquisition of Crusoe’s Bitcoin mining business will help expand its role in supporting Bitcoin’s proof-of-work security. 

NYDIG founder and executive chairman Ross Stevens said that “it is critically important to keep the Bitcoin network secure, and at the lowest possible cost,” claiming that fiat currencies are “collapsing against Bitcoin around the world.” 

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Bitcoin, Ethereum to end Q1 in the red, ‘vertical swing up’ unlikely

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Bitcoin and Ethereum are poised to suffer their worst first quarter in years unless they can pull off a huge rally in the next few days.

Ether (ETH) has dropped 37.98% so far over the first quarter of 2025, its worst Q1 decline since 2018, when it plunged 46.61%, according to CoinGlass data. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) is down 6.49% so far over the quarter, which is slated to end on March 31 — marking its worst Q1 performance since 2020, when it saw a 10.83% decline. 

Crypto market unlikely to flash green before end quarter

Swyftx lead analyst Pav Hundal told Cointelegraph that a “vertical swing up into the end of the quarter looks unlikely.” 

Ether has posted an average return of 78.23% in the first quarter of every year since 2017. Source: CoinGlass

Hundal said that the crypto market will be “flying a little blind” until the middle of April, when the broader market should have better clarity on US President Donald Trump’s tariff plans.

“The economic data shows a global economy in decent shape,” he said. 

Some analysts say it may only be a matter of weeks after that before Bitcoin sees its next significant rally.

Crypto commentator Colin Talks Crypto said in a March 19 X post that Bitcoin may begin its “next major blast-off” around April 30. Meanwhile, Swan Bitcoin CEO Cory Klippsten said earlier this month that there’s more than a 50% chance Bitcoin will hit all-time highs before the end of June.

The first quarter has historically been Ether’s strongest and Bitcoin’s second-best. Since 2017, Ether has averaged a 78.23% gain in Q1, while Bitcoin has seen an average return of 51.62% since 2013.

At the time of publication, Bitcoin is trading at $87,558, while Ether is trading at $2,059, up 5.08% and 5.88% over the past 24 hours, respectively.

Meanwhile, the ETH/BTC ratio — showing Ether’s relative strength to Bitcoin — is at its lowest point since May 2020, sitting at 0.2348, according to TradingView data.

The ETH/BTC ratio is sitting at 0.02348 at the time of publication. Source: TradingView

The rest of the crypto market has followed the downtrend of the two largest cryptocurrencies by market cap, with the entire crypto market capitalization declining 11.65% since Jan. 1, sitting at $2.88 trillion at the time of publication, according to CoinMarketCap data.

Related: Bitcoin price has 75% chance of hitting new highs in 2025 — Analyst

While many in the crypto industry were highly optimistic going into Q1 2025 following a strong end to 2024 after Bitcoin tapped $100,000 for the first time after Trump’s November election win, unexpected macroeconomic conditions were largely to blame for the crypto market’s downturn at the beginning of February.

After Bitcoin retraced below $100,000 in February, amid Trump’s imposed tariffs and uncertainty around the future of the US federal interest rate, the broader market sentiment turned fearful. The sentiment-tracking Crypto Fear & Greed Index was reading a “Neutral” score of 47 as of March 26.

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This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Pirating pioneer Napster sells for $207M with plans for music metaverse

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Artificial intelligence startup Infinite Reality has acquired the music-pirating app turned music streaming service Napster in a $207 million deal and plans to add a music-focused metaverse. 

Infinite Reality said in a March 25 statement that Napster would offer “branded 3D virtual spaces” to allow virtual concerts and “social listening parties” along with the ability to offer virtual merchandise.

“Imagine stepping into a virtual venue to watch an exclusive show with friends, chat with your favorite artist in their own virtual hangout as they drop their new single, and be able to directly buy their exclusive digital and physical merch,” said Napster CEO Jon Vlassopulos, who will continue in his role amid the acquisition.

“The internet has evolved from desktop to mobile, from mobile to social, and now we are entering the immersive era,” he added.

“The most legendary collab?! Infinite Reality has acquired iconic online music brand @Napster.

With this acquisition, we’re expanding and reimagining Napster, empowering artists with new audience monetization and engagement capabilities, underpinned by iR’s #immersivepic.twitter.com/L4Fig7QFct

— Infinite Reality (@Infinite_iR) March 25, 2025

Infinite Reality added that it also plans for Napster to allow musicians to use AI customer and community management agents and analytics dashboards to track fan behavior and cross-promotion with its other entertainment properties, such as Esports teams.

Napster’s latest repurposing

Napster was a pioneer in piracy, launching in 1999 as a peer-to-peer (P2P) filing-sharing service mostly for music. It shuttered in 2001, buried by a court order after a wave of copyright infringement lawsuits.

The now-bankrupt company sold its brand, which was relaunched as a music-streaming service before bouncing between owners for the next 20 years. The blockchain firm Algorand and crypto investment firm Hivemind most recently bought it in 2022.

Related: Here’s what musicians actually think of tokenizing content in Web3

Napster had made several moves in the Web3 space, announcing plans in June 2022 to launch its own Napster token on the Algorand blockchain that could be used to buy music subscriptions and other content. The brand also bought Web3 music startup Mint Songs in February 2023.

Source: Napster

John Acunto, co-founder and CEO of Infinite Reality, said the team hopes to lead an “internet industry shift from a flat 2D clickable web to a 3D conversational one.” 

Infinite Reality says the acquisition of Napster is slated to close in a few weeks. According to the firm, it hopes to evolve the Napster brand to become the leading immersive music platform for artists, fans and curators through audience monetization and engagement capabilities.

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