Coin Market
Bitcoin sidechains will drive BTCfi growth
Published
2 days agoon
By
Opinion by: Brendon Sedo, Core DAO initial contributor
Bitcoin is outgrowing the “digital gold” narrative. The primary driver of this shift is the rise of Bitcoin DeFi (BTCfi), which looks beyond the mere store-of-value use cases.
In 2024, Bitcoin (BTC) became a natively yield-generating asset and the centerpiece of Ethereum-style decentralized finance ecosystems. 2025 is when that kindling can grow its flame on innovative Bitcoin sidechains.
Most past attempts to tap Bitcoin’s value as a productive asset required significant changes to its base layer. That’s a big reason they failed. The Bitcoin layer 1 is not designed for much change, leaving most Bitcoiners to merely hodl and not do much else. The result is that Bitcoin remained underutilized as a network and an asset.
Bitcoin sidechains have emerged as the perfect solution to all these problems, scaling Bitcoin’s utility without altering or being limited by the base layer. Naturally, these protocols will be the most potent catalyst for BTCfi’s growth, especially with BTC surpassing $100,000, constituting over 60% of the total crypto market share, and entering a new regulatory landscape with the first “pro-crypto” US government regime.
Scaling Bitcoin, a productive asset
Per Hal Finney, “Bitcoin itself cannot scale to have every single financial transaction […] included in the blockchain.” That’s why there’s a need for a secondary level of payment’ in his view.
For a long time, the blockchain space ignored Finney’s call to action and prioritized innovation that isolated Bitcoin. However, innovations previously limited to chains like Ethereum are now crossing over to the world of Bitcoin. Sidechains, rollups and other scaling solutions offer more options for holders who want Ethereum-style utility while remaining aligned with Bitcoin. This prepared the ground for BTCfi, where holders can access a range of income-generating solutions like staking, lending and derivatives.
The industry is, however, still in the early innings of this revolution in Bitcoin. As of November 2024, merely 0.8% of its circulating supply is utilized for DeFi use cases, according to Galaxy Digital. Out of Bitcoin’s roughly $2 trillion market cap, less than $7 billion comprises BTCfi TVL.
While this may appear unencouraging, it highlights the massive remaining opportunity. Bitcoin L2 infrastructure scaled 7x from 2021 to November 2024.
Recent: Bitcoin DeFi TVL up 2,000% amid bumper 2024 for BTC price, adoption
More importantly, it has accounted for a sizable share of new liquidity flowing into BTC, besides institutional products like exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Even if the supply of Bitcoin in BTCfi platforms and sidechains grows by 0.25% annually, the sector will have a total addressable market of $44 billion to $47 billion by 2030, according to Galaxy Digital. However, as Bitcoiners know, this is a conservative estimate and would be accelerated by accelerating BTC price action or even more Bitcoin DeFi adoption.
VCs, for one, have started to recognize the potential of Bitcoin sidechains, investing over $447 million already, according to Galaxy Digital. Of this, about $174 million was invested in Q3 2024, setting the stage for more explosive growth in 2025. More funding for early-stage projects will ensure more successful launches, innovations, choices for users, and overall value.
As Bitcoin-native solutions provide access to productive use cases for Bitcoin, users will no longer need to rely on trusted intermediaries and Bitcoin-agnostic smart contract platforms. Sacrifices that were necessary to expand the utility of Bitcoin in the past will no longer be required. That can unlock substantial value for principled BTC holders and even the Bitcoin network itself.
Yields on Bitcoin for Bitcoin
So far, bridging to Turing-complete Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) chains has been a go-to way to facilitate yields and other financial use cases on Bitcoin. For example, the wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) market on Ethereum is more than $10 billion. While solutions like WBTC have been suitable for some, many Bitcoin holders prefer not to entrust custodians with their capital or rely on chains like Ethereum, which do not align with Bitcoin’s consensus principles or support the network at all.
BTCfi, defined by Bitcoin-aligned and Bitcoin-powered infrastructure, is a solution from which both WBTC users and Bitcoin purists can benefit. Users who are already accustomed to Ethereum’s smart contract sophistication can continue to enjoy that EVM experience while also growing closer to Bitcoin’s roots. Principled Bitcoin users can get more options for their BTC’s utility if the sidechain aligns with the base network.
Bitcoin holders also gain access to BTC derivatives superior to Ethereum-native solutions like WBTC. Yield-bearing BTC derivatives on Bitcoin-aligned sidechains are a 100x improvement, offering self-custody and previously unavailable yield sources to Bitcoin holders.
Overall, BTCfi can be much more significant. Not just compared to where it is now, but also vis-a-vis EVM and SVM-based DeFi. Bitcoin sidechains are already driving this shift, and will continue to do so throughout 2025. All that is needed is the right approach and consistency regarding development and product pipelines.
For BTCfi, the path is clear: Deliver use cases with product-market fit to Bitcoin holders on Bitcoin-powered platforms. This will lay the foundation for generating even more value for the Bitcoin community as a whole. And ultimately, there will be a positive flywheel of Bitcoin adoption.
The institutional side led headlines in 2024. Now, it’s time for the native, onchain camp to show its strength and deliver.
Opinion by: Brendon Sedo, Core DAO initial contributor.
This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.
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Coin Market
How to use ChatGPT to predict crypto market trends
Published
7 minutes agoon
March 24, 2025By
Key takeawaysTo generate crypto market insights via ChatGPT, collect accurate historical and real-time data on prices, trading volumes and market capitalization.Organize data into clear formats, such as tables with consistent date formats and labeled columns, to help ChatGPT identify patterns and trends.Use precise and focused prompts to guide ChatGPT in generating actionable insights, enhancing the relevance and clarity of its responses.Cross-check ChatGPT’s outputs with up-to-date information from reputable sources before making trading decisions to account for potential inaccuracies.
Predicting crypto market trends can feel like navigating a storm — unpredictable and fast-changing. Prices can spike or crash unexpectedly due to investor sentiment, regulatory changes or sudden events such as exchange hacks. For traders, staying ahead means finding reliable ways to analyze these movements and make informed decisions.
This is where ChatGPT can help.
By analyzing historical data and recognizing patterns, ChatGPT offers insights that can support better decision-making. But for AI tools to deliver meaningful results, especially when using ChatGPT for crypto investments, it’s essential to follow the right process. Combining well-structured data, clear prompts and effective risk management can improve the accuracy and usefulness of its insights.
This article explores practical ways of how to use ChatGPT for crypto market analysis — from collecting and organizing data to crafting effective prompts that help the model generate actionable insights.
How to harness ChatGPT for crypto market analysis
While predicting crypto trends will always have its challenges, using data-driven insights with ChatGPT can make market behavior easier to understand. With the right strategy, ChatGPT becomes a powerful tool to identify patterns, highlight emerging trends, and support smarter trading decisions.
Using ChatGPT effectively for crypto analysis involves four key steps:
Step 1: Gathering data for analysisStep 2: Formatting data for analysis via ChatGPTStep 3: Writing clear and effective promptsStep 4: Caution! Verify ChatGPT insights before drawing conclusions
Step 1: Gathering data for analysis
When it comes to predicting crypto trends, data is everything. Without reliable data, even the most advanced tools like ChatGPT can deliver unreliable insights. Crypto markets are notoriously volatile, and understanding the patterns behind price movements, whale activity and investor sentiment requires trustworthy information from the right sources.
The type of data required depends on the kind of analysis being performed. For example:
Price analysis requires accurate records of past prices, volume and market cap trends.Whale activity analysis focuses on large investor movements and wallet behavior.Sentiment analysis relies on tracking social media discussions, influencer mentions and crowd sentiment shifts.
Did you know? A study found that higher X post engagement generally correlates negatively with cryptocurrency prices, indicating that increased social media activity may precede price declines.
Step 2: Formatting data for analysis via ChatGPT
To predict crypto trends with ChatGPT, data must be structured in a way that highlights patterns, trends and key events. Poorly formatted data can lead to incomplete or incorrect outputs, so investing time in proper organization is crucial.
Structuring data for analysis
When formatting price data, focus on key points that reflect market trends. Include the date open price, close price and volume in chronological order to capture market movement. This article uses the Bitcoin (BTC) price data below to illustrate the process.
Gaps in data are common, especially in volatile markets. Filling missing entries with estimated values, such as moving averages, can improve continuity and make analysis more accurate.
For technical indicators, like the relative strength index (RSI) or the moving average convergence divergence (MACD), aligning the data with consistent timestamps is key.
Sentiment data tends to be unstructured, which can make it challenging to analyze. To improve its clarity, combine sentiment scores with key dates and relevant events. For example:
Data cleaning and preparation
To maximize the accuracy of ChatGPT insights, take these steps:
Ensure date formats are consistent (e.g., YYYY-MM-DD) to prevent misalignment.Remove duplicates to avoid skewed data patterns.Fill missing values by interpolating trends or forward-filling where necessary.Label data clearly to provide the necessary context for ChatGPT’s interpretation.
Did you know? A study found that ChatGPT’s sentiment analysis of news headlines can effectively predict daily stock returns, outperforming traditional methods.
Creating well-structured prompts is key to unlocking meaningful insights from ChatGPT, especially for ChatGPT crypto analysis. Poorly written prompts can confuse the model, resulting in incomplete or irrelevant responses. Clear prompts guide ChatGPT in focusing on the right data points and generating actionable insights.
Step 3: Writing clear and effective prompts
Effective prompts are built around three core principles: clarity, purpose and focus. The illustrations and prompts used in this article were experimented with using ChatGPT-4o.
Also, please note that ChatGPT outputs only show trimmed versions for illustration purposes. The original outputs are too long to display in full, but they provide detailed insights into each RSI dip, including exact price movements, duration and trader takeaways.
Clarity: Use precise language that defines exactly what is needed. Avoid vague requests like:
“Is Bitcoin bullish?”
Instead, provide clear instructions with relevant details: “Analyze Bitcoin’s RSI and MACD data between December 2024 and January 2025. Identify points where both indicators aligned with bullish breakouts.”
Purpose: Be specific about the outcome you expect. For example:
“Summarize how Bitcoin’s social sentiment changed in December 2024 and highlight its impact on price movement.”
Focus: Include relevant conditions, such as timeframes, data sources or key indicators, to ensure the analysis is targeted and relevant. For instance:
“Identify instances where Bitcoin’s RSI dipped below 50 between December 2024 and January 2025. Describe how long each dip lasted and explain the resulting price movement.”
Prompt examples for crypto market trend analysis
Here are examples of effective prompts tailored for different types of crypto insights:
Technical analysis prompt: “Analyze Bitcoin’s RSI dips below 30 from 2024 onward. Identify how long it typically took for the price to recover.”Sentiment analysis prompt: “Summarize Bitcoin sentiment trends on Reddit and Twitter throughout 2024. Identify patterns linked to price surges.”Strategy development prompt: “Create a trading strategy for Bitcoin using RSI, MACD, and whale accumulation data. Identify optimal entry and exit points.”
How to improve prompt quality
If ChatGPT’s response lacks detail or produces irrelevant insights, improving the prompt structure can enhance the outcome. Instead of rephrasing the same request, focus on adjusting the prompt’s depth, scope or context. Try these approaches for better results:
Add more data references: Refer to RSI, MACD or other indicators to improve precision.Define the timeframe more clearly: Limiting the analysis period often provides sharper insights.Request comparative analysis: Asking ChatGPT to compare conditions across different timelines or trends can reveal more meaningful insights.
When tested on GPT-4o, a refined prompt produced significantly better results. The basic prompt, “Analyze Bitcoin RSI data,” returned vague and incomplete insights.
In contrast, an enhanced prompt — “Analyze Bitcoin’s RSI dips below 50 between December 2024 and January 2025. For each dip, identify the exact dates, duration, and the corresponding price movement. Explain whether the dips signaled trend reversals, corrections, or further declines. Additionally, provide insights in simple language, focusing on how traders can interpret these RSI movements for better decision-making in market entries and exits. Prepare a structured table summarizing each dip, including columns for date, RSI value, duration, price movement, and key insights for traders” — generated clear, actionable insights in contrast to previous output, as seen above.
The below table summarizes key differences in the outputs of Prompt 1 and Prompt 2:
As observed, taking the time to write clear, targeted prompts significantly improves ChatGPT’s ability to provide meaningful and actionable insights for crypto market analysis.
However, results may vary as ChatGPT may not yield the same outputs all the time due to differences in prompt wording, data interpretation and inherent variability in AI-generated responses. Also, traders should cross-check insights with real-time data and multiple sources for informed decision-making.
Step 4: Caution! Verify ChatGPT insights before drawing conclusions
Insights generated by ChatGPT can provide useful guidance, but verifying those insights is crucial before making investment decisions. Crypto markets are volatile, and relying solely on AI crypto market predictions without cross-referencing data may lead to poor outcomes.
Verifying ChatGPT insights
To confirm the accuracy and relevance of ChatGPT’s insights:
Cross-check with trusted data sources: If ChatGPT highlights a bullish signal based on RSI trends, compare this finding with live data from platforms like TradingView, CoinGecko or Glassnode to confirm the signal’s validity.Review key market conditions: Market behavior often depends on broader economic events, news or geopolitical factors. If ChatGPT identifies a pattern, check if major events align with the prediction.Test insights on a demo account: Before applying any suggested strategy, test it in a risk-free environment using demo trading platforms to assess its effectiveness.
Applying verified insights
Once insights are verified, applying them effectively is essential:
Set clear entry and exit points: If crypto trading with ChatGPT suggests a bullish breakout pattern, establish specific price points to minimize risk and secure profits.Use stop-loss orders: Protect investments by setting stop-loss points that limit potential losses if the trend reverses unexpectedly.Diversify approach: Even when ChatGPT identifies promising trends, combining insights from multiple data sources helps reduce reliance on a single prediction.
Did you know? A survey by Mercer Investments in 2024 revealed that 54% of investment managers have already integrated AI into their investment processes, while over 90% are either currently using or planning to adopt AI tools.
Limitations of using ChatGPT for crypto market predictions
While ChatGPT can be a valuable tool for analyzing market trends, it has several limitations:
Lack of real-time data: ChatGPT does not have live access to market prices, trading volumes or real-time sentiment. External data sources are needed for up-to-date analysis.No predictive accuracy guarantee: ChatGPT analyzes historical patterns and sentiment but cannot predict future price movements with certainty. Market conditions can change rapidly due to unforeseen factors.Data quality dependence: The accuracy of insights depends on the quality of the input data. If outdated or biased information is provided, the analysis may be misleading.Limited understanding of market manipulation: ChatGPT cannot detect wash trading, pump-and-dump schemes or other forms of market manipulation that can influence crypto prices.No personal financial advice: ChatGPT does not provide personalized investment recommendations. Traders should combine AI-generated insights with technical analysis, fundamental research and risk management strategies.
As the saying goes, “Past performance is not indicative of future results.” AI tools like ChatGPT can support decision-making, but they should never replace critical thinking. Thus, always cross-check AI-driven insights with reliable market research before making any trading decisions.
The future of ChatGPT in predicting crypto market trends
As AI technology continues to evolve, using ChatGPT for crypto forecasting is expected to become more refined and integrated with real-time data platforms. Future developments could include:
Enhanced data integration: While ChatGPT cannot access live market data directly, integrating it with financial data providers like Finnhub or Polygon.io via APIs may allow real-time data retrieval. Improved prediction models: AI models are rapidly improving their ability to identify complex patterns, potentially enhancing prediction accuracy.Automated trading strategies: Future updates may enable traders to automate strategies based on ChatGPT insights, with alerts for optimal entry and exit points.
While ChatGPT is already a valuable tool, its capabilities will likely expand further as AI continues to develop, providing crypto traders with even more effective analysis and strategic insights
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
Coin Market
Tokenized US gold could ultimately benefit Bitcoin: NYDIG
Published
1 hour agoon
March 24, 2025By
An idea to tokenize or track US gold reserves to make their movements transparent on a blockchain won’t work in the same trustless way as Bitcoin does, but doing so could help the cryptocurrency, says a research analyst.
Greg Cipolaro, global head of research at New York Digital Investment Group (NYDIG), said in a March 21 note that Trump administration officials, including Elon Musk, have floated using a blockchain to track US gold and government spending — an idea supported by crypto executives.
“Here’s the thing about blockchains. They’re not very smart,” Cipolaro said. “They’re limited in the information they convey. For example, Bitcoin has no idea what the price of Bitcoin is or even the current time.”
He said the tokenization or tracking of gold reserves on a blockchain could help with audits and transparency but would still “rely on trust and coordination with central entities” compared to Bitcoin, which “was designed to explicitly remove centralized entities.”
Cipolaro added that tokenization and blockchain-tracking ideas aren’t competitive with the crypto market and might help to increase awareness of it, which “could ultimately benefit Bitcoin.”
It comes amid calls from some for an independent audit of the United States’ gold reserves.
Republican Senator Rand Paul last month seemingly called on Musk’s federal cost-cutting project to investigate the US government’s gold stash at the Bullion Depository in Fort Knox, which the US Mint says holds around half of the country’s gold.
The Treasury audits and publishes reports on gold holdings at Fort Knox and other locations across the US every month, but President Donald Trump and Musk have both parrotted decades-old conspiracy theories about the gold and questioned whether it’s all still there.
Source: Elon Musk
Related: Who’s running in Trump’s race to make US a ‘Bitcoin superpower?’
They have both pushed for an independent audit of Fort Knox. The vaults were last opened in 2017 for Trump’s then-Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin to view the gold and before that, in 1974 to a congressional delegation and a group of journalists.
The Mint’s website says that no gold has gone in or out of Fort Knox “for many years,” except for “very small quantities” used to test the gold’s purity during audits.
Trump’s Treasury secretary, Scott Bessent, said last month that Fort Knox is audited every year and “all the gold is present and accounted for.”
Magazine: Elon Musk’s plan to run government on blockchain faces uphill battle
Coin Market
US Treasury argues no need for final court judgment in Tornado Cash case
Published
2 hours agoon
March 24, 2025By
The US Treasury Department says there is no need for a final court judgment in a lawsuit over its sanctioning of Tornado Cash after dropping the crypto mixer from the sanctions list.
In August 2022, Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) sanctioned Tornado Cash after alleging the protocol helped launder crypto stolen by North Korean hacking crew the Lazarus Group, leading to a number of Tornado Cash users filing a lawsuit against the regulator.
After a court ruling in favor of Tornado Cash, the US Treasury dropped the mixer from its sanctions list on March 21, along with several dozen Tornado-affiliated smart contract addresses from the Specially Designated Nationals (SDN) list, and has now argued “this matter is now moot.”
Because Tornado Cash has been dropped from the sanctions list, the US Treasury Department argues there is no need for a final court judgment in the lawsuit. Source: Paul Grewal
“Because this court, like all federal courts, has a continuing obligation to satisfy itself that it possesses Article III jurisdiction over the case, briefing on mootness is warranted,” the US Treasury said.
However, Coinbase chief legal officer Paul Grewal said the Treasury’s hope to have the case declared moot before an official judgment can be made isn’t the correct legal process.
“After grudgingly delisting TC, they now claim they’ve mooted any need for a final court judgment. But that’s not the law, and they know it,” he said.
“Under the voluntary cessation exception, a defendant’s decision to end a challenged practice moots a case only if the defendant can show that the practice cannot ‘reasonably be expected to recur.’”
Grewal pointed to a 2024 Supreme Court ruling that found a legal complaint from Yonas Fikre, a US citizen who was put on the No Fly List, is not moot by taking him off the list because the ban could be reinstated again at a later date.
Source: Paul Grewal
“Here, Treasury has likewise removed the Tornado Cash entities from the SDN, but has provided no assurance that it will not re-list Tornado Cash again. That’s not good enough, and will make this clear to the district court,” Grewal said.
Six Tornado Cash users led by Ethereum core developer Preston Van Loon, with the support of Coinbase, sued the Treasury in September 2022 to reverse the sanctions under the argument that they were unlawful.
Crypto policy advocacy group Coin Center followed through with a similar suit in October 2022.
In August 2023, a Texas federal court judge sided with the US Treasury, ruling that Tornado Cash was an entity that may be designated per OFAC regulations. On appeal, a three-judge panel ruled in November that Treasury’s sanctions against the crypto mixer’s immutable smart contracts were unlawful.
US Treasury had a 60-day window to challenge the decision, which it did; however, the US court sided with Tornado Cash, overturning the sanctions on Jan. 21 and forcing the government agency to remove the sanctions by March.
Related: US Treasury under Trump could take a different approach to Tornado Cash
Its founders are still facing legal strife, however. The US charged Roman Storm and fellow co-founder Roman Semenov in August 2023, accusing them of helping launder over $1 billion in crypto through Tornado Cash.
Semenov is still at large and on the FBI’s most wanted list. Storm is free on a $2 million bond and expected to face trial in April.
Meanwhile, Tornado Cash developer Alexey Pertsev was released from prison after a Dutch court suspended his “pretrial detention” as he prepared to appeal his money laundering conviction.
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