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Bitcoin speculative appetite declines as investors seek safety

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Speculative appetite is vanishing from the crypto markets, as investors are looking for safer digital asset investments following the recent wave of memecoin scams and macroeconomic uncertainty.

Bitcoin’s hot supply metric, which measures the Bitcoin (BTC) aged one week or less, is down over 50%, from 5.9% at the end of November to just 2.3% on March 20, Glassnode data shows.

The metric’s decline signals an investor shift to safer investment positioning amid the recent market volatility, according to Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research.

Bitcoin hot supply metric. Source: Glassnode 

Global trade tensions and fluctuating market dynamics are making investors reconsider their strategies, the analyst told Cointelegraph, adding:

“During uncertain times, investors are not only seeking security but are also focused on rational decision-making. In many instances, that rational choice is represented by Bitcoin.”

“This trend isn’t solely rooted in fear, it also reflects a more pragmatic approach to investing,” explained Lee.

Related: Bitcoin experiencing ‘shakeout,’ not end of 4-year cycle: Analysts

The stablecoin supply ratio (SSR), which measures the ratio between Bitcoin and stablecoin supply, also suggests that investors are still hesitant to take on significant new positions.

BTC SSR ratio, 1-year chart. Source: Glassnode

The SSR ratio stood at an over four-month low of 8, last seen at the beginning of November 2024, when Bitcoin was trading at $67,000, just before the post-election rally took BTC to a new all-time high of $109,000.

Historically, SSR values below 10 are considered low, indicating that there is relatively low stablecoin buying power among investors, compared to Bitcoin’s market cap.

The cautious crypto investor positioning aligns with the sentiment among traditional market participants, according to Enmanuel Cardozo, market analyst at Brickken real-world asset (RWA) tokenization platform.

The market analyst told Cointelegraph:

“US stock market trends often set the tone for risk-on assets like crypto, and right now, although the macro picture is still uncertain, these corrections are normal and just highlight where the real value lies as the market continues to mature and educate itself.”

Asset performance post-Trump administration takeover. Source: Thomas Fahrer

Despite the growing investor caution, Bitcoin outperformed all major global assets since US President Donald Trump’s election, including the stock market, equities, US treasuries, real estate and precious metals.

Related: Whale closes $516M 40x Bitcoin short, pockets $9.4M profit in 8 days

Speculative appetite is “fading” among crypto investors

The cooldown in Bitcoin’s hot supply metric shows faltering speculative appetite, according to technical analyst Kyledoops, who wrote in a March 21 X post:

“Speculative appetite is fading, and the market is cooling off.”

“This means fewer fresh coins in circulation, reduced liquidity, and lower market participation,” added the analyst.

Despite the current lack of risk appetite, analysts remain optimistic on Bitcoin’s price trajectory for the rest of 2025, with price predictions ranging from $160,000 to above $180,000.

Magazine: ETH may bottom at $1.6K, SEC delays multiple crypto ETFs, and more: Hodler’s Digest, March 9–15

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Coin Market

Tether seeks Big Four firm for its first full financial audit — Report

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Stablecoin issuer Tether is reportedly engaging with a Big Four accounting firm to audit its assets reserve and verify that its USDT (USDT) stablecoin is backed at a 1:1 ratio.

Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino reportedly said the audit process would be more straightforward under pro-crypto US President Donald Trump. It comes after rising industry concerns over a potential FTX-style liquidity crisis for Tether due to its lack of third-party audits.

Tether to produce first full audit after scrutiny

“If the President of the United States says this is top priority for the US, Big Four auditing firms will have to listen, so we are very happy with that,” Ardoino told Reuters on March 21.

“It’s our top priority,” Ardoino said. It was reported that Tether is currently subject to quarterly reports but not a full independent annual audit, which is much more extensive and provides more assurance to investors and regulators.

However, Ardoino did not specify which of the Big Four accounting firms — PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), Ernst & Young (EY), Deloitte, or KPMG — he plans to engage.

Tether recorded a profit of $13.7 billion in 2024. Source: Paolo Ardoino

Tether’s USDT maintains its stable value by claiming to be pegged to the US dollar at a 1:1 ratio. This means each USDT token is backed by reserves equivalent to its circulating supply. 

These reserves include traditional currency, cash equivalents and other assets.

Earlier this month, Tether hired Simon McWilliams as chief financial officer in preparation for a full financial audit.

Industry concerns over Tether’s lack of audits

In September 2024, Cyber Capital founder Justin Bons was among those in the industry who voiced concerns about Tether’s lack of transparency.

“[Tether is] one of the biggest existential threats to crypto. As we have to trust they hold $118B in collateral without proof! Even after the CFTC fined Tether for lying about their reserves in 2021,” Bons said.

Related: Tether freezes $27M USDT on sanctioned Russian exchange Garantex

Around the same time, Consumers’ Research, a consumer protection group, published a report criticizing Tether for its lack of transparency.

Just three years prior, in 2021, the United States Commodities and Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) fined Tether a $41 million civil monetary penalty for lying about USDT being fully backed by reserves.

Meanwhile, more recently, Tether has voiced disappointment over new European regulations that have forced exchanges like Crypto.com to delist USDT and nine other tokens to comply with MiCA.

“It is disappointing to see the rushed actions brought on by statements which do little to clarify the basis for such moves,” a spokesperson for Tether told Cointelegraph.

Cointelegraph reached out to Tether but did not receive a response by time of publication.

Magazine: Dummies guide to native rollups: L2s as secure as Ethereum itself

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Crypto VC giant targets $1B for new funds, expects oversubscription — Report

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Venture capital firm Haun Ventures is reportedly looking to raise $1 billion for two new crypto-related investment funds within the next three months.

If successful, $500 million will be allocated to early-stage crypto investments, while the remaining $500 million will go toward late-stage crypto investments, people familiar with the matter told Fortune Crypto on March 21.

Different market conditions to 2022 led to lowered expectations

The VC firm, founded by former Coinbase board member and federal prosecutor Katie Haun in 2022, reportedly did not aim for the $1.5 billion it raised in its highly praised funding round in 2022. It cited different market conditions as the reason for the lower target.

However, Haun reportedly expects the two new funds will be “oversubscribed.” In March 2022, Haun secured $1.5 billion in the company’s first funding round, shortly after its launch. Haun had also recruited former executives from Airbnb, Coinbase and Google tech incubator Jigsaw.

The firm’s latest fundraising round is set to close in June and is expected to be one of the largest in crypto funding in the past two years. Venture capital firm Paradigm and digital asset investment manager Pantera Capital both sought similar amounts in 2024.

137 crypto companies raised a combined $1.11 billion in funding in February 2025. Source: The TIE

In June 2024, Paradigm closed an $850 million investment fund, while in April, digital asset investment manager Pantera Capital sought to raise over $1 billion for a new blockchain-focused fund.

VCs predict that stablecoins will continue to be a focus in 2025

More recently, Haun Ventures participated in crypto asset management firm Bitwise’s $70 million funding round alongside investors such as Electric Capital, MassMutual, MIT Investment Management Company, and Highland Capital.

While the specific focus of Haun’s upcoming crypto funds is not publicly known yet, other venture capitalists have recently predicted that stablecoin interest will continue into 2025.

Related: Venture capital firms invest $400M in TON blockchain

Deng Chao, CEO of institutional asset manager HashKey Capital, recently told Cointelegraph that stablecoins were the strongest proven use case for crypto in 2024.

Meanwhile, market analyst Infinity Hedge predicted that crypto VC investment in 2025 would surpass last year’s levels but wouldn’t approach the peak recorded during the 2021 bull market. VC crypto funding in 2021 reached $33.8 billion, while in 2024 it reached $13.6 billion.

Cointelegraph reached out to Haun Ventures but did not receive a response by time of publication.

Magazine: Dummies guide to native rollups: L2s as secure as Ethereum itself

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Crypto Biz: As crypto booms, recession looms

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America’s pro-crypto policy shift has become a bipartisan commitment as Democrats and Republicans look to secure the US dollar’s influence as a global reserve currency. According to US Representative and California Democrat Ro Khanna, at least 70 of his fellow party members now understand the importance of stablecoin regulation. 

According to Khanna, Americans can expect sensible crypto market structure and stablecoin bills this year. Under normal circumstances, this news would send crypto prices soaring, but that’s not been the case as President Donald Trump’s trade policies stoke recession fears.

ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood is the latest crypto industry executive to sound the recession alarm. While a recession is rarely a good thing, Wood said it could provide Trump and the Federal Reserve with leeway to enact pro-growth policies. 

“We are worried about a recession” — Cathie Wood

Although US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent isn’t worried about a recession, Wood is certainly preparing for that possibility. 

Speaking virtually at the Digital Asset Summit in New York, Wood implied that the White House could be underestimating the recession risk facing the economy as a result of Trump’s latest tariff war. 

“We are worried about a recession,” Wood said. “We think the velocity of money is slowing down dramatically.”

A slowdown in the velocity of money means capital is changing hands less frequently as consumers and businesses reduce spending. Such conditions usually signify the onset of a recession.

However, recessionary forces could end up being a boon for risk assets like crypto as declining GDP should give “the president and the Fed many more degrees of freedom to do what they want in terms of tax cuts and monetary policy,” said Wood.

Cathie Wood tells the Digital Asset Summit that the threat of recession is building. Source: Cointelegraph

US stablecoin bill is “imminent” — Bo Hines

The US could have comprehensive stablecoin legislation in as little as two months, according to Bo Hines, the recently appointed executive director of Trump’s Presidential Council of Advisers on Digital Assets.

Speaking at the Digital Asset Summit in New York, Hines lauded the Senate Banking Committee’s bipartisan approval of the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins Act, also known as the GENIUS Act.

“We saw that vote come out of the Senate Banking Committee in extremely bipartisan fashion, […] which was fantastic to see,” Hines said.

The GENIUS Act seeks to establish clear guidelines for US stablecoin issuers, including collateralization requirements and compliance rules with Anti-Money Laundering laws. 

“I think our colleagues on the other side of the aisle also recognize the importance for US dominance in this space, and they’re willing to work with us here, and that’s what’s really exciting about this,” said Hines.

Bo Hines says US stablecoin legislation could arrive on President Donald Trump’s desk in two months. Source: Cointelegraph

Ethena Labs, Securitize launch DeFi-focused blockchain

Ethena Labs and Securitize are launching a new blockchain designed to boost retail and institutional adoption of DeFi products and tokenized assets.

The new blockchain, called Converge, is an Ethereum Virtual Machine that will offer retail investors access to “standard DeFi applications” and specialize in institutional-grade offerings to bridge traditional finance and decentralized applications. Converge will also allow users to stake Ethena’s native governance token, ENA. 

Converge will also leverage Securitize’s RWA infrastructure. The company has minted nearly $2 billion in tokenized RWAs across various blockchains, including the BlackRock USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund, which was initially launched on Ethereum and has since expanded to Aptos, Arbitrum, Avalanche, Optimism and Polygon.

Canary Capital files for Sui ETF

Canary Capital has submitted its Form S-1 filing to the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to list an exchange-traded fund tied to Sui (SUI), the native token of the layer-1 blockchain used for staking and fees.

The March 17 filing underscores the race to expand institutional access to digital assets following the overwhelming success of the spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs last year. Canary Capital has so far filed six crypto ETF proposals with the SEC.

Sui is the 22nd largest crypto asset by market capitalization, with a total value of $7.5 billion, according to CoinGecko. The Sui blockchain recently partnered with World Liberty Financial, the DeFi company backed by Trump’s family.

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