Connect with us

Coin Market

Price analysis 3/12: BTC, ETH, XRP, BNB, SOL, ADA, DOGE, PI, LEO, HBAR

Published

on

Bitcoin (BTC) bounced from $76,606 on March 11, but the bulls could not sustain the price above $84,500 on March 12.

Nansen principal research analyst Aurelie Barthere told Cointelegraph that Bitcoin is in a macro correction in a bull market, with the next crucial level being “$71,000-$72,000, top of the pre-election trading range.”

Glassnode also projected a similar target in its March 11 market report. The onchain analytics firm said the recent sell-off had been triggered by the short-term holders who may have purchased near the peak in January. Glassnode added that Bitcoin could bottom out near $70,000 if selling persists.

Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

It is not only the crypto markets; even the US stock market has been under pressure in the past few days. However, a silver lining for the bulls is that the US Dollar Index (DXY) has corrected from its multi-year high above 110 to under 104. Bitcoin generally moves in inverse correlation with the dollar, suggesting that a bottom may be around the corner.

Could Bitcoin retest the support at $76,606 or rise above $85,000? What are the important support and resistance levels to watch out for in altcoins? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin broke below the $78,258 level on March 10 and fell to $76,606 on March 11, but the bears could not sustain the lower levels. This suggests solid buying by the bulls.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The relief rally is facing selling near the 20-day exponential moving average ($87,262), but a minor positive in favor of the bulls is that the relative strength index (RSI) is showing a positive divergence. Buyers will have to drive the price above the 20-day EMA to suggest that the correction could be ending. The BTC/USDT pair may then ascend to the 50-day simple moving average ($94,654).

On the downside, the bulls are expected to defend the $73,777 level with all their might because a break below it may sink the pair to $67,000.

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) fell below the $1,993 support on March 9 and extended the decline, reaching $1,754 on March 11.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bulls are trying to start a recovery, which is expected to face significant resistance at the breakdown level of $2,111. If the price turns down sharply from $2,111, it will signal that the bears have flipped the level into resistance. That heightens the risk of a break below $1,754. The ETH/USDT pair may then slump to $1,500.

Conversely, a break above the 20-day EMA ($2,235) suggests that the markets have rejected the break below $2,111. The pair may then climb to $2,800, where the bears are expected to step in.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) fell below the $2 support on March 11, but the bears could not sustain the lower levels, as seen from the long tail on the candlestick.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bears are trying to stall the recovery at the 20-day EMA ($2.35). If the price continues lower, the possibility of a break below $2 increases. If that happens, the XRP/USDT pair will complete a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern. There is minor support at $1.77, but if the level cracks, the decline could extend to $1.28.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price breaks above the 20-day EMA, the pair could rise to the 50-day SMA ($2.58) and later to $3. 

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) turned up from $507 on March 11, indicating that the bulls are aggressively defending the $500 to $460 support zone.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The relief rally is expected to face selling at the 20-day EMA ($592). If the price turns down sharply from the 20-day EMA, the bears will try to sink the BNB/USDT pair below $500. The pair may drop to $460 if they can pull it off.

Instead, if the price rises above the 20-day EMA, it will signal that the pair may remain inside the $460 to $745 range for a while longer. The bulls will be back in the driver’s seat on a break and close above the 50-day SMA ($628).

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) turned up from $112 on March 11, signaling that the bulls are fiercely defending the $110 support.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The RSI shows early signs of forming a positive divergence, indicating that the bearish momentum could weaken. The first sign of strength will be a break and close above the 20-day EMA ($145). 

If the price turns down from the current level or the 20-day EMA, it suggests that every minor rally is being sold into. That increases the risk of a break below $110. The SOL/USDT pair could tumble to $98 and subsequently to $80.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano (ADA) rebounded off the uptrend line on March 11, suggesting that the bulls are trying to stop the decline.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bears are unlikely to give up easily and are expected to sell at the moving averages. If the price turns down from the moving averages, it will signal selling on rallies. The bears will then try to strengthen their position by pulling the price below the uptrend line. If they do that, the ADA/USDT pair could drop to $0.60 and then to $0.50.

Contrary to this assumption, a break and close above the moving averages suggests that the bulls are back in the game. The pair may then rally to $1.02.

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) continued its slide and reached the $0.14 support on March 11. The bulls are trying to defend the level but may face selling at higher levels.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA ($0.20), it will suggest that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. That increases the risk of a break below $0.14. The DOGE/USDT pair may descend to $0.10 if that happens.

Related: Here’s what happened in crypto today

On the contrary, a break and close above the 20-day EMA suggests that the bears are losing their grip. The pair could climb to the 50-day SMA ($0.25), which may pose a solid challenge again.

Pi price analysis

Pi (PI) is taking support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $1.20, indicating buying at lower levels.

PI/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The relief rally is expected to face resistance at the 20-day EMA ($1.69) and then again at $2. If the price turns down from the overhead resistance, the PI/USDT pair could range between $2 and $1.20 for some time.

A break and close above $2 suggests that the correction may be over. The pair could rally to $2.40. Alternatively, a break and close below $1.20 could sink the pair to the 78.6% retracement level of $0.72.

UNUS SED LEO price analysis

UNUS SED LEO (LEO) has been consolidating just below the $10 level for several days, indicating that the bulls are holding on to their positions as they anticipate another leg higher.

LEO/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The LEO/USD pair has formed an ascending triangle pattern, which will complete on a break and close above $10. If that happens, the pair could resume the uptrend toward the target objective of $12.04.

This positive view will be invalidated in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below the uptrend line. That will negate the bullish setup, starting a drop to $8.84 and later to $8.30.

Hedera price analysis

Hedera (HBAR) bounced off the $0.17 support on March 11, indicating that the bulls are aggressively defending the level.

HBAR/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The recovery is facing selling at the 20-day EMA ($0.22), as seen from the long wick on the candlestick. If the price continues lower, the bears will make one more attempt to sink the HBAR/USDT pair below $0.17. If they succeed, the pair could plunge to $0.12.

Contrarily, a break above the 20-day EMA suggests that the selling pressure is reducing. The pair could rise to the downtrend line, which is an important level to watch out for. If buyers push the price above the downtrend line, the pair could rally to $0.29.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Coin Market

OpenAI to stay nonprofit, scrap proposed overhaul

Published

on

By

ChatGPT-maker OpenAI has abandoned plans to become a for-profit company and reaffirmed commitment to its nonprofit status. 

In a May 5 blog post, OpenAI confirmed plans to convert its for-profit business unit into a so-called Public Benefit Corporation (PBC), which would remain under the nonprofit’s control. PBCs are for-profit companies that are legally obligated to prioritize a social mission alongside the interests of shareholders.

The plans mark a reversal for OpenAI, which had previously floated a for-profit conversion involving spinning out the nonprofit entity.

“OpenAI was founded as a nonprofit, and is today overseen and controlled by that nonprofit. Going forward, it will continue to be overseen and controlled by that nonprofit,” the ChatGPT-maker said. 

This can be done without compromising OpenAI’s ability to raise funds for AI development, which “currently requires hundreds of billions of dollars and may eventually require trillions of dollars,” OpenAI’s CEO, Sam Altman, said in a letter to employees announcing the decision.

In 2024, OpenAI took a starkly different view, asserting that the for-profit entity was “necessary” for raising capital to amass the “vast quantities of compute” needed to run AI models. 

OpenAI’s May 5 governance announcement. Source: OpenAI

Related: OpenAI expects to 3X revenue in 2025 but Chinese AI firms are heating up

Controversial Plans 

OpenAI was originally founded as a nonprofit in 2015, and in 2019 it created a for-profit entity purportedly to help AI developers raise funds. The for-profit unit has remained under the nonprofit’s control since then. 

In 2024, Tesla CEO Elon Musk — one of OpenAI’s cofounders — sued Altman for allegedly “violating terms of Musk’s foundational contributions to the charity,” according to a November court filing. 

In the lawsuit, Musk alleges Altman “assiduously manipulated Musk into co-founding their spurious nonprofit venture, OpenAI,” while secretly planning to convert OpenAI to a for-profit entity. 

Musk has since launched xAI, the developer of AI chatbot Grok, which he said has fallen victim to OpenAI’s allegedly anti-competitive practices.

OpenAI’s leadership expects its revenue to hit $29.4 billion by 2026, Bloomberg reported in March. It forecasts earning revenues of $12.7 billion in 2025.

In March, OpenAI raised $40 billion from Softbank at a $300 billion valuation.

Magazine: Bitcoin to $1M ‘by 2029,’ CIA tips its hat to Bitcoin: Hodler’s Digest, April 27 – May 3

Continue Reading

Coin Market

New York district gets interim US Attorney as ex-SafeMoon CEO trial kicks off

Published

on

By

Acting US Attorney for the Eastern District of New York (EDNY) John Durham has departed as President Donald Trump’s pick takes control of the office.

In a May 5 notice, the US Attorney’s Office for EDNY said Joseph Nocella will serve as interim US Attorney for the region for 120 days or until a Senate-confirmed nominee assumes the role. Nocella’s appointment came as jury selection began in the criminal trial of Braden John Karony, the former CEO of crypto firm SafeMoon.

It’s unclear how the advancement of Nocella, appointed by US President Donald Trump this month, could affect prosecutors’ case against Karony, who faces charges of securities fraud conspiracy, wire fraud conspiracy, and money laundering conspiracy. Nocella said he intended to help prosecute “narcotics-traffickers, gang members, terrorists, human-traffickers and other criminals.”

The former SafeMoon CEO asked the court in February to consider pushing back the start of the trial based on “significant changes” Trump had proposed affecting US securities laws, potentially impacting his criminal case.

Related: What do crypto users want to happen to Alex Mashinsky?

Though not as well known for criminal cases involving high-profile figures in the crypto industry, the Eastern District of New York has been responsible for overseeing cases against individuals tied to digital assets, including a Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) complaint against Hex founder Richard Heart and fraudsters.

Its neighboring district, the Southern District of New York, will oversee the sentencing of former Celsius CEO Alex Mashinsky on May 8. Jay Clayton, a Wall Street insider and the former chair of the SEC, became the interim US Attorney for the district in April.

Criminal trial to start on May 6

SafeMoon’s Karony, Kyle Nagy, and Thomas Smith were charged in November 2023 for “diverted and misappropriated millions of dollars’ worth” of the platform’s SFM token between 2021 and 2022. Karony has pleaded not guilty to all charges and has been free on a $3 million bond since February 2024.

In a May 5 filing, Karony agreed to have jury selection for his trial proceed under US Magistrate Judge James Cho. District Judge Eric Komitee is expected to oversee the trial starting on May 6.

Magazine: Crypto wanted to overthrow banks, now it’s becoming them in stablecoin fight

Continue Reading

Coin Market

Bitcoin sell-off to $93.5K is a brief hiccup — Data still supports new BTC highs in 2025

Published

on

By

Key takeaways:

Bitcoin price slips, but BTC dominance is on the rise.

Sizable purchases by Strategy and the spot BTC ETFs highlight institutional investors’ appetite for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price has dropped by 4.3% in the last three days after nearly reaching $97,900 on May 2. Despite showing resilience at the $94,000 level on May 5, some traders are disappointed that strong institutional inflows have not been enough to maintain bullish momentum. However, several encouraging signs suggest that a new all-time high for Bitcoin in 2025 remains within reach.

Bitcoin market share excluding stablecoins. Source: TradingView / Cointelegraph

Bitcoin’s dominance over the broader cryptocurrency market has surged, currently standing at 70%, its highest since January 2021. This has occurred despite a wave of new token launches, including several top-50 projects such as SUI, Toncoin (TON), PI, Official Trump (TRUMP), Bittensor (TAO), Ethena (ENA), and Celestia (TIA). This dominance makes riskier altcoins less appealing to new market entrants.

The spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $4.5 billion in net inflows between April 22 and May 2. At the same time, the increasing appetite for Bitcoin futures signals growing institutional adoption regardless of whether leverage is used for downside protection or bullish bets.

Bitcoin futures aggregate open interest, BTC. Source: CoinGlass

According to CoinGlass, the total open interest in Bitcoin futures markets has reached 669,090 BTC, a 21% increase since March 5. Even after Bitcoin’s price crashed below $75,000 in early April, demand for leveraged positions remained strong. The open interest in BTC futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) alone exceeds $13.5 billion, indicating robust institutional demand.

Several factors explain why Bitcoin has struggled to reclaim the $100,000 level. Traders who bought in anticipation of the US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve bill on March 6 are growing increasingly frustrated, as the government has yet to disclose its BTC holdings or announce plans for further purchases. Additionally, similar state-level Bitcoin bills have repeatedly failed, including the latest setback in the US state of Arizona.

Strategy doubles its plans for BTC acquisitions despite the global trade war 

Over the past three months, gold has outperformed most assets, rising 16%, while Bitcoin has declined by 5% and the S&P 500 has corrected by 6.5%. This has challenged the notion of Bitcoin as an uncorrelated asset, as the cryptocurrency has repeatedly failed to decouple from the S&P 500 amid rising economic risks. The global trade war has led investors to favor fixed-income assets and cash positions.

5-year US Treasury yield (left) vs. Bitcoin/USD (right). Source: TradingView / Cointelegraph

Bitcoin’s recent drop to $94,000 is particularly concerning given that Strategy, a US-listed company led by Michael Saylor, announced the acquisition of 1,895 BTC on May 5, after doubling its capital increase plan to fund further Bitcoin purchases. However, since investors were previously uncertain about Strategy’s ability to raise additional capital, the announcement of an $84 billion plan on May 1 has reduced some of this risk.

For Bitcoin to reach a new all-time high, investors will likely need reassurance that US-China trade relations are improving, as tariffs have negatively impacted overall risk appetite. Nevertheless, the key elements for a BTC bull run above $100,000 appear to be in place.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Continue Reading

Trending