As markets reel from geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty, Bitcoin has shown relative resilience during events like Trump’s recent tariff bombshells, according to Blockstream CEO Adam Back.

While in the short term, Bitcoin (BTC) may move in tandem with stocks and other risk-on assets, Back sees the long-term trend telling a different story.

“Bitcoin is fully decoupled because it’s gone up five or six times since the bottom of the market three years ago,” he said during an exclusive interview with Cointelegraph at Paris Blockchain Week.

Back, who is one of the original cypherpunks and a key contributor to Bitcoin’s early development, predicts strong adoption tailwinds for BTC: regulatory clarity, institutional interest, and the legitimizing force of exchange-traded funds (ETFs). He notes that while most long-term holders are already “all in” and unable to buy dips, entities like BlackRock and sovereign wealth funds are stepping in, quietly absorbing supply.

The Blockstream CEO also touches on the geopolitical dimension, discussing a scenario in which governments may begin actively acquiring Bitcoin. “If the US government doesn’t go on a buying spree and buy 1 million Bitcoin over the next five years, that gives more time for the new entrants who’ve got access finally through brokers and through the ETFs to build up the Bitcoin position.”

Despite short-term volatility, Back remains firmly bullish on the mid-term outlook: “Typically, there would be half a dozen 30% drops in a bull market, so I think that’s probably where we are now.”

Watch the full interview now on the Cointelegraph’s YouTube channel — and subscribe for more exclusive conversations with the biggest names in crypto.

United States securities laws are not flexible enough to account for digital assets, as evidenced by the parade of crypto-native companies that have tried and failed to get into the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) good graces, Rodrigo Seira, special counsel to Cooley LLP, told a House Committee hearing on April 9.

The hearing, titled American Innovation and the Future of Digital Assets Aligning the U.S. Securities Laws for the Digital Age, featured Seira, WilmerHale partner Tiffany J. Smith, Polygon chief legal officer Jake Werrett and Alexandra Thorn, a senior director at the Center for American Progress.

“It is clear that the current securities regulatory framework is not a viable option to regulate crypto. It fails to achieve its stated policy goals,” Seira said in his opening remarks. “[T]he idea that crypto projects can come in and register with the SEC is demonstrably false.”

Cooley LLP special counsel Rodrigo Seira addresses the committee on April 9. Source: House Committee on Financial Services

Seira acknowledged that crypto promoters who raise capital for a new enterprise should be subject to federal securities laws. 

“In practice, however, virtually no crypto projects have successfully registered their tokens under federal securities laws and lived to tell the tale,” he said, adding: 

Projects that tried to comply with [the] SEC’s current regulatory requirements expended significant resources and effort only to fail or survive in a state of regulatory uncertainty. Moreover, registration is not a simple one-time process. Registering a token in the same manner as a stock triggers an obligation to operate as a publicly reporting company […].”

Related: Crypto has a regulatory capture problem in Washington — or does it?

Righting the ship

In introducing the witnesses, Representative Bryan Steil, who heads the Subcommittee on Digital Assets, Financial Technology, and Artificial Intelligence, acknowledged regulatory roadblocks, which he said were put in place by the previous administration. 

Congressman Bryan Steil addresses the hearing on April 9. Source: House Committee on Financial Services

Under President Donald Trump, lawmakers are attempting to right the ship by passing sensible legislation, said Steil.

One of the first steps occurred last week when the House Financial Services Committee advanced the STABLE Act, which is designed to regulate payment stablecoins tied to the US dollar and other fiat currencies. 

Source: Financial Services GOP

A month earlier, the Senate Banking Committee advanced the GENIUS Act, which aims to regulate stablecoin issuers by establishing reserve requirements and requiring full compliance with Anti-Money Laundering laws.

The next step is “advancing the second half of this agenda: comprehensive digital asset market structure legislation,” said Steil.

Representative Ro Khanna told a digital asset conference last month that a market structure bill will cross the finish line this year.

The purpose of such legislation is to establish a clear regulatory framework for digital assets, including their legal categories and the enforcement jurisdiction of agencies such as the SEC and Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Magazine: Unstablecoins: Depegging, bank runs and other risks loom

Risky assets remain volatile as trade war tension between the United States and China keeps investors on the edge. A minor positive is that Bitcoin (BTC) has avoided a sharp fall and is trading well above the crucial near-term support at $73,777. 

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes said in a post on X that the PBOC (People’s Bank of China) could give the catalyst needed for the next leg of the crypto bull run by weakening the yuan. Such a move led to Chinese capital flight into Bitcoin in 2013 and 2015, and it could work again in 2025.

Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

The situation remains fluid and difficult to predict. Therefore, investors seem to be curtailing risk, as seen from the $595.9 million in outflows from the US-listed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the past four trading days, per Farside Investors data.

Could Bitcoin hold above the $73,777 support, or will the bears pull the price below it? How are the altcoins positioned? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin tried to start a recovery on April 8 but met with strong selling near the 20-day exponential moving average ($82,218). That suggests the sentiment remains negative, and traders are selling on rallies.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The downsloping moving averages indicate an advantage to bears, but the positive divergence on the relative strength index (RSI) suggests the bearish momentum could be slowing down. However, if the $73,777 level cracks, the BTC/USDT pair could swiftly nosedive to the next support at $67,000. Solid buying is likely to emerge in the $67,000 to $65,000 support zone.

The 50-day simple moving average ($85,703) remains the key overhead resistance to watch out for. Buyers will have to drive the price above the 50-day SMA to suggest that the corrective phase may have ended. Until then, rallies are likely to be sold into.

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) has been in a strong downtrend, but the price has reached the $1,368 support, which could start a relief rally.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The ETH/USDT pair could rise to the 20-day EMA ($1,786), which is likely to act as a stiff hurdle. If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, the bears will try to sink the pair below $1,368. If they can pull it off, the pair may collapse to $1,150.

Instead, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA but rebounds off $1,368, it will signal a range formation in the near term. A break and close above the 20-day EMA suggests the bears are losing their grip. The pair may then ascend to the breakdown level of $2,111.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) tried to rise above the breakdown level of $2 on April 8, but the bears held their ground. That suggests the bears are trying to flip the level into resistance.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the price turns down and breaks below $1.61, the XRP/USDT pair could resume the downtrend. The next support on the downside is at $1.27.

Conversely, if buyers drive the price above the 20-day EMA ($2.10), it suggests solid demand at lower levels. There is a minor hurdle at the 50-day SMA, but it is likely to be crossed. If that happens, the pair could rally to the resistance line, where the bears are expected to sell aggressively.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) is trying to form a higher low at $520, indicating solid buying by the bulls at lower levels.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bulls will try to push the price toward the downtrend line, which is expected to act as a solid barrier. If the price returns from the downtrend line, it will indicate that the bears are active at higher levels. The BNB/USDT pair may oscillate inside the triangle for a while.

The support line is the crucial level to watch out for on the downside. A break and close below the support line could open the doors for a fall to $460. Buyers are expected to defend the $460 level with all their might because a break below it may sink the pair to $400.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) has been trading below the $110 support, but the bears have failed to start a downward move. That suggests a lack of aggressive selling at lower levels.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Buyers are expected to face stiff resistance in the $110 to $120 zone. If the price turns down from the overhead zone, it will signal that the bears remain sellers on rallies. That heightens the risk of a break below $95. The SOL/USDT pair may then tumble to $80.

Alternatively, a break and close above $120 suggests that the markets have rejected the breakdown below $110. The 50-day SMA ($135) may act as a resistance, but it is likely to be crossed. The pair could rise to $147 and, after that, to $180.

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) is witnessing a tough battle between the bulls and the bears near the $0.14 support.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The downsloping moving averages indicate advantage to bears, but the positive divergence on the RSI suggests the selling pressure is reducing. However, if the price dips and maintains below $0.14, the selling could pick up again. The next stop on the downside is at $0.10.

Contrarily, a break and close above the $0.20 resistance signals the formation of a double bottom pattern. The DOGE/USDT pair could rally to $0.24 and later to the pattern target of $0.26.

Cardano price analysis

Buyers are trying to keep Cardano (ADA) above the $0.50 support but are expected to face selling on every minor rally.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA ($0.65), it increases the risk of a break below $0.50. The ADA/USDT pair could then drop to $0.45 and subsequently to $0.40. Buyers are expected to fiercely defend the $0.30 to $0.40 support zone.

The first sign of strength will be a break and close above the 20-day EMA. If that happens, the pair may climb to the 50-day SMA ($0.72). This is an important level for the bears to defend because a break above it signals a short-term trend change.

Related: Bitcoin price at risk of new 5-month low near $71K if tariff war and stock market tumult continues

UNUS SED LEO price analysis

UNUS SED LEO (LEO) has started a recovery, which is expected to face selling at the 20-day EMA ($9.36).

LEO/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will signal that the sentiment has turned negative and traders are selling on rallies. That increases the risk of a break below the $8.80 support. If that happens, the LEO/USD pair could drop to $8.30.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price rises and maintains above the 20-day EMA, it indicates solid buying at lower levels. The bulls will then attempt to push the price to the overhead resistance at $9.90.

Chainlink price analysis

Chainlink (LINK) has dropped to the support line of the descending channel pattern, where buyers are expected to step in.

LINK/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The rebound off the support line is expected to face strong selling at the moving averages. If the price turns down sharply from the moving averages, the LINK/USDT pair could break below the support line. The next support on the downside is at $8.

Buyers have an uphill task ahead of them. They will have to push and maintain the price above the 50-day SMA ($14.50) to suggest that the bearish momentum has weakened. The pair may then rise to the resistance line.

Toncoin price analysis

Toncoin (TON) is finding support at $2.84, but the failure to start a strong rebound suggests a lack of demand from the bulls.

TON/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($3.41) is sloping down, and the RSI is in negative territory, indicating that bears have the edge. If the price dips below $2.84, the TON/USDT pair could plunge to $2.35.

If buyers want to prevent the downside, they will have to drive and maintain the price above the moving averages. That could open the doors for a rally to $4.14, where the bears are expected to mount a strong defense.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.